Building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction method based on BP neural network model

A BP neural network and prediction method technology, applied in the field of air conditioning energy consumption prediction, can solve the problem of difficulty in implementing large-scale training samples, and achieve the effects of fast large-scale training samples, strong nonlinear mapping ability, and strong robustness.

Active Publication Date: 2017-06-20
ZHEJIANG UNIV +1
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

This method establishes a building air-conditioning load forecasting model based on support vector machine theory, and uses genetic algorithm, ant colony algorithm and particle swarm algorithm to optimize the parameters of support vector machine. This method has the advantages of fast lear

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  • Building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction method based on BP neural network model
  • Building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction method based on BP neural network model
  • Building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction method based on BP neural network model

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Embodiment 1

[0073] combine Figure 1-Figure 4 , this embodiment describes in detail the method for predicting energy consumption of building air conditioners based on BP neural network of the present invention, the flow chart of which is as follows figure 1 As shown, it includes the following steps:

[0074] S11: Analyze the influencing factors of building air conditioning energy consumption;

[0075] S12: According to the impact parameters, collect the sample parameters of air-conditioning energy consumption in historical buildings, and preprocess the sample parameters of air-conditioning energy consumption in historical buildings, and obtain the sample parameters of air-conditioning energy consumption in historical buildings after preprocessing;

[0076] S13: Use BP neural network to establish a building air conditioning energy consumption prediction model according to the dimensions of historical building air conditioning energy consumption sample parameters;

[0077] S14: Using the ...

Embodiment 2

[0185] Such as Figure 6 Shown as its flow chart, this embodiment is on the basis of embodiment 1, after step S15 has increased:

[0186]S16: Regularly evaluate the modeling quality of the building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model to judge whether the error of the building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model is within the allowable range. The specific method is: by taking the real-time data of the building as a sample for a period of time, bring it into the trained model simulation to obtain the corresponding predicted value, compare the deviation between the predicted value of the model and the actual air-conditioning energy consumption data, and judge whether the deviation is within the allowable range If it is within the allowable range, the building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model is available; if it is not within the allowable range, the building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model is not available...

Embodiment 3

[0190] Such as Figure 7 Shown as its flow chart, this embodiment is on the basis of embodiment 1, after step S15 has increased:

[0191] S17: Regularly collect recent historical building air-conditioning energy consumption and influencing parameters and collect them as new training samples to retrain the building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model to obtain a building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model that is more suitable for the current state.

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Abstract

The invention discloses a building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction method based on a BP neural network model. The method comprises: analyzing influence factors of building air-conditioning energy consumption; according to influence parameters, collecting historical building air-conditioning energy consumption sample parameters, and preprocessing the parameters; using a BP neural network, according to dimensionality of the sample parameters, establishing a building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model; using the preprocessed sample parameters as a training sample, training the building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model; collecting near-term real-time building air-conditioning energy consumption sample parameters to evaluate the building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction model; if errors are in an allowed range, output of the model being a building air-conditioning energy consumption predicted value; if not, training the model again. The building air-conditioning energy consumption prediction method based on a BP neural network model is advantaged in that learning rules are simple, a computer can easily implement, and the method has excellent robustness, memory capability, nonlinear mapping capability, and powerful self-learning capability.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of air-conditioning energy consumption prediction, in particular to a method for predicting building air-conditioning energy consumption based on a BP neural network model. Background technique [0002] In current modern buildings, especially public buildings, the energy consumption of air-conditioning systems has always accounted for about 50-60% of building energy consumption, and the energy-saving potential is huge. How to effectively manage the energy consumption of air-conditioning systems has been one of the current research hotspots. Accurate prediction of energy consumption of building air-conditioning systems has important theoretical and practical significance for optimizing the operation mode of heating and air-conditioning systems and realizing the comprehensive energy-saving operation of building air-conditioning systems. Air-conditioning energy consumption prediction is of great significance f...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06F17/50G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06N3/084G06F30/20G06N3/045
Inventor 李鸿亮李佳鹤李寅雷龙克垒徐雨明
Owner ZHEJIANG UNIV
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