Risk evaluation method based on multi-variety electricity transaction
A technology for power trading and risk assessment, applied in instrumentation, finance, data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as inapplicable multi-variety power trading risk assessment, and achieve accurate risk assessment
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[0050]The embodiments described below are exemplary and are only for explaining the present invention, but not construed as limiting the present invention.
[0051] refer to figure 1 , a risk assessment method based on multi-variety power trading, including the following steps:
[0052] Step 1. Collect basic data of various market transactions, including the transaction allocation ratio of power generators in each market, the yield of power generators in each market transaction, and the yield combination of power generators' multi-market portfolio;
[0053] Step 2. On the basis of the mean-variance risk assessment, the value-at-risk model method is used to calculate the value-at-risk VaR value under power trading;
[0054] Step 3. Compare the value-at-risk VaR value under power trading with the expected rate of return of the trading portfolio. When the expected rate of return of the trading combination is greater than or equal to the VaR value of the risk value under power tr...
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