Leading user identification, forecasting methods, and technology trend forecasting methods
A user identification and user technology, applied in technology trend forecasting method and storage medium, forecasting method, leading the field of user identification, can solve problems such as difficulty in achieving accurate forecasting of technology trends, low efficiency, and unrepresentative results
Active Publication Date: 2022-06-10
ZHEJIANG UNIV
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Problems solved by technology
The dynamics of leading users is an important indicator to reflect technology trends. However, in the existing technology, the identification and dynamic acquisition of leading users are basically carried out by manual investigation and screening, which is not only inefficient, but also the results obtained are not representative. , it is difficult to achieve accurate prediction of technology trends
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[0027] The specific implementations of the embodiments of the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings. It should be understood that the specific implementation manners described herein are only used to illustrate and explain the embodiments of the present invention, and are not used to limit the embodiments of the present invention.
[0028] like figure 1 and figure 2 As shown, the present invention discloses a leading user identification method, which specifically includes:
[0029] (1) Confirm the technical field to be predicted, the present invention can adopt the technical field that can be divided by methods / rules, for example, the technical field specified in the International Patent Classification (IPC) is used as the candidate field, and the confirmed technology with prediction Each field has a corresponding classification number for easy management.
[0030] (2) Confirm historical information on technological...
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The present invention mainly relates to a method for identifying leading users, including: confirming the technical field and historical information of technological development trends; selecting an online community, and obtaining comment information of all users; analyzing the comment information and historical information of technological development trends through natural language analysis Compare the text similarity to obtain the accuracy of the review information; compare the review time of the review information with the development time corresponding to each development stage in the historical information of technological development trends to obtain the foresight of the review information; according to the accuracy and foresight, the A user's lead; a user whose lead is above a lead threshold is determined to be a lead user. The present invention judges the user's accuracy and foresight by acquiring the user's comment information and comparing it with the technology trend that has occurred, and then identifies and divides the leading users. Mining and summarizing the latest developments of leading users can accurately and effectively draw technological development trends.
Description
technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of technology trend prediction, in particular to a leading user identification and prediction method, a technology trend prediction method and a storage medium. Background technique [0002] Technology trend prediction is to speculate and judge the future development trend and level of things through scientific methods and logical reasoning based on the past and present information of the predicted object. Predicting technology trends can improve the competitiveness of enterprises and improve consumers' satisfaction. [0003] Lead users are customers who adopt an innovation early in its life cycle. The existing strong demand of leading users will become a common market demand in the near future. Leading users have two basic characteristics: the needs of leading users are ahead of ordinary users; leading users have strong innovation motivation and higher expected benefits. The dynamics of leading users is ...
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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04
Inventor 郑范瑛顾复吴晓波顾新建
Owner ZHEJIANG UNIV