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A method for predicting deformation of subway structures based on bp‑time series fusion

A technology of time series fusion and subway structure, which is applied in neural learning methods, neural architectures, biological neural network models, etc., can solve problems such as poor model stability and low prediction accuracy, and achieve good stability, excellent forecasting effect, and high precision effect

Active Publication Date: 2018-02-02
SOUTHEAST UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

These subway structural deformation prediction models have their own advantages and disadvantages, but they generally have the problems of low prediction accuracy and poor model stability. According to the characteristics of subway structural deformation

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  • A method for predicting deformation of subway structures based on bp‑time series fusion
  • A method for predicting deformation of subway structures based on bp‑time series fusion
  • A method for predicting deformation of subway structures based on bp‑time series fusion

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Embodiment Construction

[0019] The present invention will be further described below in combination with specific embodiments and accompanying drawings.

[0020] The invention discloses a subway structure deformation prediction method based on BP-time series fusion, which includes the following steps:

[0021] S1: Analyze the deformation characteristics of the subway structure over time through the known deformation data of the subway structure.

[0022] Organize the deformation data of the subway structure, and use the cubic polynomial interpolation method to interpolate the missing data to obtain a uniformly sampled time series of the deformation of the subway structure, and select appropriate learning samples and test samples according to the actual project;

[0023] Taking a subway project in Nanjing as an example, three monitoring points YY18-1, YY18-2, and YY18-3 on the tunnel monitoring section YY18 were selected from June 18, 2013 to March 10, 2015 in the Z direction. The cumulative deformat...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a subway structure deformation prediction method based on BP-time series fusion, which includes the following steps: S1: analyzing the variation characteristics of subway structure deformation over time through known subway structure deformation data; S2: constructing time series prediction The model predicts the deformation data of the subway structure; S3: constructs a BP-time series fusion model, and uses the BP neural network model to predict the deformation residual of the subway structure obtained by the time series prediction model, thereby compensating the time series prediction model. The present invention combines the time series model with the BP neural network, and utilizes the advantages of the neural network in nonlinear change data fitting to compensate the error of the time series prediction model, and fully understands the variation characteristics of the deformation of the subway structure over time. Excavation, high prediction accuracy and good stability.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a subway structure deformation prediction method, in particular to a subway structure deformation prediction method based on BP-time series fusion. Background technique [0002] The structural deformation of the subway during construction and operation is inevitable. Due to the particularity of the tunnel structure, the safety of the subway cannot be guaranteed when deformation occurs. The urban subway project itself produces structural deformation and settlement due to the deformation of the foundation, internal stress and changes in external loads; in addition, in the urban subway that has been built or is being built, the non-metro construction projects above or along the subway tunnel are more and more More and more, these projects have construction procedures and influencing factors such as unloading, loading, precipitation, pumping or vibration, and will also have certain structural deformation, inclination, displacement,...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06N3/08G06N3/045
Inventor 胡伍生仲洁潘栋
Owner SOUTHEAST UNIV
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