Region saturation load prediction method based on model family decomposition and integration technology
A forecasting method and load forecasting technology, applied in forecasting, information technology support systems, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as large differences in forecasting results, troubles for power researchers and enterprise decision makers, etc.
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[0094] The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.
[0095] Taking the saturated load forecasting in Zhejiang Province as an example,
[0096] S1. Extract the main influencing factors of load growth in Zhejiang Province.
[0097] Use SPSS software to analyze the power consumption of the whole society in Zhejiang, the annual maximum load, regional GDP, population factors, investment in fixed assets of the whole society, total import and export, residential consumption, energy consumption structure, per capita power consumption and power consumption of various industries Correlation indicators, the following conclusions are obtained, except that there is no correlation between the maximum load utilization hours and each indicator, and all other indicators are significantly correlated. It can be seen that each index can reflect the changing trend of electricity consumption in different aspects and ...
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