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Prediction model of annual incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome

A predictive model, technology of renal syndrome, applied in medical simulation, medical informatics, informatics, etc.

Inactive Publication Date: 2018-05-08
李青
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Problems solved by technology

[0003] In order to overcome the problem of the prediction model of the annual incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the prior art, the present invention provides a prediction model of the annual incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome

Method used

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Embodiment Construction

[0006] (1) Randomly select representative monitoring habitats for the onset of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome; (2) Collect blood samples from patients according to the requirements of the "National Surveillance Program for Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (Trial)", Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention The professional technicians with rich experience in the microbiological laboratory collected 5ml of cubital venous blood from the affected population and put it in a sterile vacuum blood collection tube. The serum specimens were stored at 4°C and were required to be sent to the microbiological laboratory of the Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention immediately. Experienced testing professionals from the Microbiology Laboratory of the Anhui Provincial Center for Disease Control and Prevention used colloidal gold-labeled test strips to quickly detect the IgM antibody to the hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome virus, so as to r...

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Abstract

The present invention discloses a prediction model of an annual incidence of a hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, belonging to the medical field. The technical scheme of the prediction model comprises the steps of: selecting a monitoring point, determining a patient, calculating L, calculating S, calculating W, measuring and calculating a determination coefficient 0.8S, and establishing a prediction model. The problem is solved that there is no a prediction model of an annual incidence of the hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in the prior art. The L, the S and the W are directly employed to establish the prediction model to explore a rule of accurately predicting the disease number of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome so as to provide a scientific basis for prevention and control work of the hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a disease prediction model, in particular to a prediction model of the annual incidence of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome. Background technique [0002] Hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome is a natural foci disease caused by hantavirus, the main host animal is rodents, and it is also one of the natural foci diseases that seriously threaten the lives and health of people in the epidemic area . According to reports, more than 70 countries on the five continents (Asia, America, Europe, Africa, and Oceania) have found cases of hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome, but the cases are still mainly concentrated in the Eurasian continental plate. 90% of the cases of hemorrhagic fever are mainly concentrated in China. By calculating the total number of patients with hemorrhagic fever with renal syndrome in January and five months from September to December (L) and the three months from April to June in 2005-2015 The ratio (W)...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G16H50/50
Inventor 李青
Owner 李青
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