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Earthquake prediction rule optimization method and device

A technology for earthquake prediction and rules, which is applied in the fields of prediction, instrumentation, data processing, etc. to achieve the effect of improving accuracy, performance evaluation and optimization of prediction rules.

Pending Publication Date: 2021-03-12
内蒙古自治区地震局
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Problems solved by technology

[0009] The current forecasting rules mainly rely on manual statistics, which are somewhat subjective

Method used

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  • Earthquake prediction rule optimization method and device
  • Earthquake prediction rule optimization method and device
  • Earthquake prediction rule optimization method and device

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Embodiment Construction

[0031] Embodiments of the present invention are described in detail below, examples of which are shown in the drawings, wherein the same or similar reference numerals denote the same or similar elements or elements having the same or similar functions throughout. The embodiments described below by referring to the figures are exemplary only for explaining the present invention and should not be construed as limiting the present invention.

[0032] In order to facilitate the understanding of the embodiments of the present invention, several specific embodiments will be taken as examples for further explanation below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings, and each embodiment does not constitute a limitation to the embodiments of the present invention.

[0033] Such as figure 1 Shown, be the optimization method of a kind of earthquake prediction rule described in the present invention, comprise:

[0034] Step 11, setting the research area of ​​the earthquake, the researc...

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Abstract

The embodiment of the invention provides an earthquake prediction rule optimization method and device. The method comprises the following steps: step 1, setting a research area of an earthquake; setting a gridding step length; 2, setting earthquake prediction rules; 3, obtaining a prediction index scanning result and a target seismic directory of the research area; 4, calculating an earthquake evaluation index value according to the prediction index scanning result and a target earthquake directory; 5, performing searching in a parameter space of the prediction rule, and calculating earthquakeevaluation index values of preset times according to the method in the step 4; and 6, selecting the parameter of the corresponding prediction rule when the evaluation index value is the highest as the optimal prediction rule, and outputting the optimal prediction rule.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of earthquake prediction, in particular to an optimization method and device for earthquake prediction rules. Background technique [0002] Earthquake prediction refers to predicting the magnitude, time and location of future earthquakes before an earthquake occurs, announcing it to the public, carrying out disaster prevention work in a timely manner, and reducing earthquake disaster losses. The current earthquake prediction work can be divided into: long-term forecast, medium-term forecast, short-term forecast, impending earthquake forecast and aftershock forecast after the main earthquake. Due to the impenetrability of the earth, the infrequent occurrence of destructive earthquakes, and the complexity of the earthquake process, accurate earthquake prediction is impossible at the current scientific level. Accurate short-term and short-term earthquake prediction is always a worldwide scientific problem. [0003] Afte...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q10/06
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q10/06393
Inventor 韩晓明张帆
Owner 内蒙古自治区地震局
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