The application discloses a water resource
system risk multi-link conduction method, mainly comprising the following steps. Firstly,
risk element data in a researched area are collected and standardized
processing is conducted; then, water resource
system risk links are constructed by using the correlation between risk elements; then, a risk conduction mechanism is defined: ①risk opening stage: simple mechanism of risk conduction and opening condition of risk are described; ②resistance threshold effect: the resistance ability of a
system in risk conduction is described, according to the conduction characteristics of the risk link, the risk conduction mechanism and the resistance threshold effect of risk links with different structures are revealed; ③
recovery threshold effect: natural and social repair forces make the risk not exist all the time, therefore, the risk
recovery effect is defined; ④threshold value updating calculation: the resistance and
recovery abilities are increased by
risk prevention and control, therefore, the threshold value is updated; ⑤risk termination stage: the risk termination condition is deduced according to the risk conduction mechanism; ⑥risk intensity and conduction speed relationship: the greater the risk disturbance intensity is, the faster the risk conduction speed is. By exploring the risk link conduction mechanism, the water resource
risk evaluation system under complex conditions is improved.