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A short-term data flow prediction method based on long short-term memory network model

A long-short-term memory and network model technology, applied in biological neural network models, neural learning methods, character and pattern recognition, etc., can solve the problem of difficult identification and separation of multiple mixed components, data flow prediction effect needs to be improved, and prediction accuracy is not good. advanced questions

Active Publication Date: 2020-01-14
SOUTH CHINA UNIV OF TECH
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0003] At present, many methods for short-term data flow prediction use a single model to make predictions. However, data flow is a nonlinear and random signal, and it is difficult to distinguish and separate multiple mixed components.
Therefore, there is a bottleneck in the prediction effect of a single model. When a model has a good prediction effect on the data flow in the case of congestion, the prediction effect on the data flow in the unblocked situation often needs to be improved. Therefore, the existing short-term data flow prediction method There is a defect that the prediction accuracy is not high

Method used

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  • A short-term data flow prediction method based on long short-term memory network model
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  • A short-term data flow prediction method based on long short-term memory network model

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Experimental program
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Embodiment 1

[0098] The method of this embodiment is applied to the prediction of traffic data flow, specifically as follows:

[0099] In this embodiment, the traffic data flow value of a certain traffic observation point from January 1, 2015 to December 30, 2015 is taken for a total of 52 weeks, wherein the traffic data flow is collected by the sensor every 30 seconds. In this embodiment, after excluding weekends and holidays, there are remaining 247 days of traffic data flow values. In the experiment, the training sample set is obtained through the traffic data flow value counted at each time point in the first 200 days, and the test sample set is obtained through the traffic data flow value counted at each time point in the next 47 days.

[0100] Such as figure 2 As shown, when T is 5 in this embodiment, that is, when the time interval between every two adjacent time points is 5 minutes, it is obtained from a random day from January 1, 2015 to December 30, 2015 When K-means clusterin...

Embodiment 2

[0112] The method of this embodiment is applied to the prediction of network load data traffic, specifically as follows:

[0113] In this embodiment, the network flow load data log of Wikipedia from 2014 to 2016 at a certain network observation point is obtained, wherein the number of people visiting the platform is recorded every hour, and then the network observation point is collected from June 1, 2014 to 2014. On December 30, 2015, there were a total of 45510 hours. In the experiment, the first 36408 hours were used as the training sample set, and the last 9102 hours were used as the test sample set.

[0114] Such as Figure 6 As shown, when T is 60 in this embodiment, that is, when the time interval between every two adjacent time points is 60 minutes, random 10 days from June 1, 2014 to December 30, 2015 When K-means clustering is performed on the obtained training samples, the effect diagram of two types of training samples with an increasing trend of the data flow val...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a short-term data flow prediction method based on a long-short-term memory network model. The steps are: first obtain a plurality of training samples in observation points, then extract the characteristics of the training samples, and perform training on the training samples according to the characteristics of the training samples. Classification, respectively, the two types of data flow value change trend are severe and gentle, or the change trend is rising and falling; all training samples are used to train the LSTM model, and the main model after training is obtained, and then the two types are used respectively. The training samples train the main model respectively to obtain the first type sub-model and the second type sub-model respectively. Obtain the test samples of observation points, classify the test samples through the classifier, and then input the test samples into the first type of sub-model or the second type of sub-model according to the classification results, and use the first type of sub-model or the second type of sub-model to predict Quantitative flow value at the next time point of the outgoing observation point. The method of the invention improves the accuracy of short-term data flow prediction.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of pattern recognition and artificial intelligence, and in particular relates to a short-term data flow prediction method based on a long-short-term memory network model. Background technique [0002] With the continuous and stable development of the world economy, services in many countries are data flows, such as network load flow and traffic flow, which represent the characteristics of their services, and forecasting is the best way to optimize these services, such as forecasting Internet load The data provides more suitable resource scheduling for the scheduling of the next moment; for the traffic flow prediction, it can optimize the allocation of traffic resources. [0003] At present, many methods for short-term data flow prediction use a single model for prediction. However, data flow is a nonlinear and random signal, and it is difficult to distinguish and separate multiple mixed components. Therefor...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06N3/08G06N3/045G06F18/23213G06F18/24147G06N3/084G06N3/044
Inventor 薛洋薛泽龙李磊
Owner SOUTH CHINA UNIV OF TECH
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