Fan prediction management method and device, electronic device and storage medium

A management method and fan technology, applied in computer equipment and storage media, fan prediction management method, and device field, can solve problems such as the inability to effectively grasp changes in the number of fans of official accounts, and the inability to provide data reference, and achieve the effect of improving prediction accuracy.

Inactive Publication Date: 2019-09-24
重庆锐云科技有限公司
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  • Abstract
  • Description
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  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0003] The fan prediction management method, device, computer equipment, and storage medium provided by the present invention mainly solve the technical problem that the change in the number of fans of the official account cannot be effectively grasped, and it is impossible to provide data reference for platform operation in advance

Method used

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  • Fan prediction management method and device, electronic device and storage medium
  • Fan prediction management method and device, electronic device and storage medium
  • Fan prediction management method and device, electronic device and storage medium

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Embodiment 1

[0045] In order to solve the problem that the change in the number of fans of the current official account cannot be effectively grasped and the data reference cannot be provided in advance for the platform operation, the embodiment of the present invention provides a fan prediction management method, which realizes the prediction platform in the future to be predicted by using the ARIMA model. While predicting the number of followers, the initial value of the model parameters is determined through the distribution of autocorrelation and partial autocorrelation coefficients, and the minimum information criterion (AkaikeInformationCriterion, referred to as AIC) and Bayesian Information Criterion (BayesianInformationCriterion, referred to as BIC) are used to screen out The best model makes the final prediction more accurate.

[0046] See figure 1 , figure 1 The flow chart of the follower prediction management method provided in this embodiment mainly includes the following step...

Embodiment 2

[0151] On the basis of the above-mentioned first embodiment, this embodiment provides a follower prediction management device, which is used to implement the steps of the follower prediction management method described in the above-mentioned first embodiment, please refer to Figure 7 , the fan prediction management device 70 mainly includes a sample acquisition module 71, a difference module 72, a calculation module 73, a determination module 74, a validity verification module 75, an optimal screening module 76, and a processing module 77: wherein

[0152] The sample acquisition module 71 is used to obtain the original time series of the number of fans parameters based on the number of fans parameters of the platform to be predicted in each historical unit period, as a modeling sample.

[0153] The difference module 72 is used to perform an N-order difference operation on the original time series, and when it is judged that the first time series after the difference is a stati...

Embodiment 3

[0161] On the basis of the first and / or second embodiments above, this embodiment provides a computer device for implementing the steps of the follower prediction management method described in the first embodiment above, please refer to Figure 8 , the computer equipment mainly includes a processor 81, a memory 82 and a communication bus 83:

[0162] The communication bus 83 is used to realize the connection and communication between the processor 81 and the memory 82; the processor 81 is used to execute one or more programs stored in the memory 82, so as to realize the steps of the fan prediction management method as described in the first embodiment . For details, refer to the description of the first embodiment above, and details are not repeated here.

[0163] This embodiment also provides a storage medium, the storage medium stores one or more computer programs, and the one or more programs can be executed by one or more processors to realize fan prediction as described...

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Abstract

The invention provides a fan prediction management method and device, an electronic device and a storage medium. The method comprises the steps of obtaining an original time sequence of fan quantity parameters of each unit time period of history of a to-be-predicted platform; using the ARIMA model as a modeling sample to predict the fan quantity of the platform in the future to-be-predicted time period, so that data reference is provided for operation management of the to-be-predicted platform, and the purposes of fan suction and fan benefit mining and conversion are achieved; on model parameter selection, using the distribution condition of autocorrelation indexes and partial autocorrelation coefficients in a stationary sequence after difference; rapidly and accurately determining an initial value of a model autoregressive item parameter and an initial value of a moving average item parameter; using the minimum information amount criterion and the Bayesian information criterion to select an optimal model to predict the fan amount of the platform in the to-be-predicted time period, so that the fan amount prediction precision is greatly improved, the fan amount prediction precision is almost consistent with actual measurement data, and effective reference can be provided for fan operation of the public account in advance.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of official account operation management, and in particular to a fan forecast management method, device, computer equipment and storage medium. Background technique [0002] At present, there is no effective way to monitor the changes in the number of fans in the operation of official account fans. The growth trend of fans cannot be effectively controlled, and the ability of official accounts to attract fans cannot be continuously improved. As a result, potential fans cannot be discovered, and the benefits of fans cannot be effectively tapped, making it difficult to convert the value of the platform. Contents of the invention [0003] The follower prediction management method, device, computer equipment, and storage medium provided by the present invention mainly solve the technical problem that changes in the number of followers of official accounts cannot be effectively grasped, and data referenc...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04
Inventor 李琦
Owner 重庆锐云科技有限公司
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