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Wind power climbing event prediction method based on feature adaptive selection and WDNN

A technology of self-adaptive selection and forecasting methods, applied in forecasting, neural learning methods, computer components, etc., can solve problems such as single influencing factors and low forecasting accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2020-02-07
NORTHEAST DIANLI UNIVERSITY
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Problems solved by technology

However, the influencing factors of the wind power ramp event considered in the prior art are relatively single, resulting in low prediction accuracy

Method used

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  • Wind power climbing event prediction method based on feature adaptive selection and WDNN
  • Wind power climbing event prediction method based on feature adaptive selection and WDNN
  • Wind power climbing event prediction method based on feature adaptive selection and WDNN

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Embodiment Construction

[0053] The present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.

[0054] Such as figure 1 As shown, the wind power climbing event prediction method based on feature adaptive selection and WDNN of the present invention comprises the following steps:

[0055] Step 1: Extract the time L from the data acquisition and monitoring control system in the wind farm in time series with the sampling period Δt 1 The original data of the active power of the fan and the air temperature in the fan constitute the original data set PT of the fan operation 0 ={(P(t n ) 0 ,T(t n ) 0 )|n=1,2,...,N}; among them, t n is the time corresponding to the nth sampling point, N is the total number of sampling points, t n+1 -t n =Δt,L 1 =(N-1)Δt, P(t n ) 0 for t n Raw data of fan active power at time, T(t n ) 0 for t n Raw data of air temperature at time.

[0056] Step 2: Run the original dataset PT on the turbine 0 Perfor...

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Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of wind power climbing event prediction, and provides a wind power climbing event prediction method based on feature adaptive selection and WDNN. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, collecting and normalizing a fan operation original data set; then constructing a wind power climbing event sample set PTr; secondly, based on a feature adaptive selection method, selecting a related sample set from the sample set PTr, performing wavelet decomposition on signals formed by active power in each related sample, and combining the decomposed signals with temperature and category label data to obtain a decomposed sample set; constructing and training a DNN-based wind power climbing event prediction model by taking variables, except the category labels, in the decomposed sample set as input and taking the category labels as output; and finally, acquiring and processing fan operation original data in real time, and outputting a corresponding category label by utilizing the trained prediction model. According to the invention, the input variable of the wind power climbing event prediction model can be optimized, and the prediction precision is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of wind power ramp event prediction, in particular to a wind power ramp event prediction method based on feature adaptive selection and WDNN. Background technique [0002] With the gradual depletion of non-renewable energy sources in the world, renewable energy sources have gradually occupied a dominant position in industry and life. In my country, electric energy, as an indispensable form of energy in life, is also facing tremendous changes, which is mainly reflected in the increasing proportion of wind energy and other new energy generation connected to the grid. According to the information released by China Energy Network, China's wind power generation in 2017 was 305.6 billion kWh, an increase of 26.8% compared with 2016, and the proportion rose from 4.0% to 4.8%. However, with the rapid development of wind power and large-scale grid connection, some problems brought about by wind power have gradually ...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N3/084G06N3/045G06F18/214Y04S10/50Y02E40/70
Inventor 唐振浩孟庆煜曹生现
Owner NORTHEAST DIANLI UNIVERSITY
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