Air quality prediction algorithm based on ARIMA-SVM combined model

A technology of air quality and forecasting algorithms, which is applied in calculations, complex mathematical operations, computer components, etc., can solve problems such as the decline in data forecasting accuracy, and achieve the effect of improving forecasting accuracy

Inactive Publication Date: 2020-05-12
KUNMING UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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Problems solved by technology

The above existing single models cannot simultaneously mine the linear and nonlinear feature information of the data when analyzing and predicting air quality data, resulting in a decline in prediction accuracy.

Method used

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  • Air quality prediction algorithm based on ARIMA-SVM combined model
  • Air quality prediction algorithm based on ARIMA-SVM combined model
  • Air quality prediction algorithm based on ARIMA-SVM combined model

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Embodiment Construction

[0024] In order to have a clearer understanding of the technical features, purposes and effects of the present invention, the specific implementation manners of the present invention will now be described with reference to the accompanying drawings.

[0025] figure 1 It is the algorithm flowchart of the present invention:

[0026] Step 1: The analysis object of the ARIMA(p,d,q) model is a stationary sequence. Firstly, the air quality data is tested for stationarity. If it is strictly stationary, the data will not be processed. If it is not strictly stationary, how to perform differential processing on the data? The data becomes strictly stationary.

[0027] Step 2: Analyze the stable air quality data and determine the order of the ARIMA model according to the analysis results. The order determination of the ARIMA (p, d, q) model is mainly to determine the value of (p, d, q), where the value of d The value was confirmed in the first step. In the mathematical model of ARIMA, ...

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Abstract

The invention relates to an air quality prediction algorithm based on an ARIMA-SVM combined model, and belongs to the field of data mining. The algorithm comprises the following steps: firstly, checking the stability of air quality data; if the data is not stable, allowing the data to be stable through differential processing; and performing ARIMA modeling analysis according to the characteristicsof the data yt to obtain a prediction result, performing prediction analysis on the residual Nt of the prediction result by using an SVM model to obtain a result, and adding the prediction results ofthe two models to obtain a prediction result of the ARIMA-SVM combined model. According to the combined model provided by the invention, the problem that the prediction precision is reduced due to the fact that linear and nonlinear feature information of data cannot be mined at the same time when air quality data is analyzed and predicted by an existing single model can be improved, and the prediction precision is greatly improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of data mining, in particular to an air quality prediction algorithm based on an ARIMA-SVM combined model. Background technique [0002] In recent years, with the development of industrial production and the increase of human activities, a large amount of energy consumption and waste discharge have been caused, and the problem of air quality has become increasingly prominent, especially the inhalable particulate matter (PM2.5), which seriously affects human health. Therefore, the accurate prediction of air quality has important guiding significance for people's production, life, and cultivation of environmental awareness. [0003] The concentration of PM2.5 is affected by many factors and has both linear and nonlinear characteristics. At present, the prediction of PM2.5 mainly includes neural network, gray prediction, spatio-temporal data model, support vector machine and other methods. The above existing single mode...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06F17/18G06K9/62
CPCG06F17/18G06F18/2411
Inventor 彭艺杨涛锋
Owner KUNMING UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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