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Travel demand prediction method based on space-time feature extraction

A technology of travel demand and spatio-temporal features, applied in market forecasting, neural learning methods, marketing, etc., can solve problems such as extraction of spatio-temporal features, and achieve a good effect of predicting travel demand

Active Publication Date: 2021-03-12
SOUTHEAST UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

The existing deep learning models combine and utilize deep learning structures such as convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks and their variant long-short-term memory neural networks, which to a certain extent play a role in capturing the temporal and spatial correlations in traffic data. However, most of the time-space related attributes have been directly input into the model, without considering the extraction of space-time features.

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  • Travel demand prediction method based on space-time feature extraction
  • Travel demand prediction method based on space-time feature extraction
  • Travel demand prediction method based on space-time feature extraction

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Embodiment Construction

[0037] In order to make the object, technical solution and advantages of the present invention clearer, the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.

[0038] The technical route of the present invention is as figure 1 As shown, it mainly includes eight steps, which are preprocessing non-aggregated travel data, dividing spatial grids and time slices, counting the number of travel records, constructing time and spatial feature training sample sets, extracting time and spatial features, and constructing prediction training samples ensemble, train a predictive model, and predict future travel demand.

[0039] In this embodiment, the travel demand prediction method based on spatio-temporal feature extraction is tested using Didi car-hailing data. The following will introduce this embodiment from three aspects: data preprocessing, model training, and prediction results.

[0040] 1) Data preprocessing ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a travel demand prediction method based on space-time feature extraction. The method comprises the following steps of collecting non-aggregated travel data and preprocessing the non-aggregated travel data, constructing a travel demand grid chart, constructing a travel demand prediction model based on space-time feature extraction, constructing a time sequence of the local travel demand grid chart, constructing the time sequence of the local travel demand grid chart into a spatial feature training sample set Ds, and constructing a time feature training sample set DT, extracting space-time features, constructing a prediction training sample set DP, and training a prediction module by using the prediction training sample set DP, and splicing the trained space feature extraction module, time feature extraction module and prediction module to obtain an end-to-end prediction model, and taking the end-to-end prediction model as a final travel demand prediction model based on space-time feature extraction. The method improves the prediction precision of travel demands.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of traffic demand forecasting, in particular to a travel demand forecasting method based on spatio-temporal feature extraction. Background technique [0002] In recent years, new forms of travel such as online car-hailing and shared bicycles have gradually become popular, and people's demand for new transportation resources is also increasing day by day. Therefore, it is becoming more and more important to better dispatch traffic resources, reduce enterprise operating costs, and improve the quality of travel services by accurately predicting travel demand. [0003] Among the existing travel demand forecasts, some use traditional linear models and machine learning methods, and some use deep learning methods. The existing deep learning models combine and utilize deep learning structures such as convolutional neural networks, recurrent neural networks and their variant long-short-term memory neural networks, which to a ...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06G06Q30/02G06Q50/30G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/06315G06Q30/0203G06N3/049G06N3/08G06N3/045G06Q50/40
Inventor 王升王岳平张文波陈景旭刘志远刘昊东
Owner SOUTHEAST UNIV