A Fault Detection Method Based on Fusion of Long-term and Short-term Prediction
A fault detection, long-term and short-term technology, applied in the information field to achieve the effect of ensuring service quality, improving the accuracy of fault prediction, and reducing uncertainty
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[0034] The following combination figure 1 A specific description is given of a long-term and short-term prediction fusion fault detection method provided by the present invention.
[0035] The present invention provides a long-term and short-term prediction fusion fault detection method, comprising the following steps:
[0036] S1: Build a statistical model of data changing over time;
[0037] First, build a statistical model of data changes over time, if only the influence of time of day is considered. let y (i,d) Denotes the observation at the i-th interval on day d in the data collection. will y (i,d) Divided into two parts: the overall mean and the average deviation from the i-th time value of the day, the overall mean is μ; the i-th error of the day from the overall mean is α i (∑ i alpha i =0). The time index t can be expressed as a function of (i,d), and the following model is established:
[0038] the y t =μ+α i (1)
[0039] Further adding a week pattern. ...
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