Power market risk evaluation and early warning method considering market subject remedial measures

Abstract

The invention discloses a power market risk evaluation and early warning method considering market subject remedial measures, and the method comprises the following steps: 1), obtaining a market subject long-term evaluation index according to the basic financial condition of a market subject; and 2) evaluating whether the market main body has a default condition or not after the transaction. 3) according to the remedial measures of the default subject and the time of taking the remedial measures, scoring the remedial measures of the market subject; 4) combining the market subject transaction behavior score with the market subject remedial measure coefficient, and calculating a market subject short-term evaluation index; and 5) applying the financial evaluation indexes and the transaction behavior evaluation indexes considering the remedial measures to the early warning measures. According to the method provided by the invention, a power market management department can identify risks caused by market subjects in advance, so that the power market management department can realize risk early warning; credit evaluation is carried out by combining remedial measures of main body defaultbehaviors afterwards, meanwhile, an afterwards risk prompt book is issued, and the market transparency is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of electric power engineering, in particular to an electric power market risk assessment and early warning method considering remedial measures of market entities. Background technique [0002] In 2015, the State Council issued "Several Opinions of the Central Committee of the Communist Party of China and the State Council on Further Deepening the Reform of the Electric Power System", hereinafter referred to as No. 9 Document, which mentioned: "Establish and improve the credit system of market entities, strengthen the integrity of market entities, and standardize market order. Increase Intensify supervision, make public the untrustworthy behaviors of enterprises and individuals, and implement strict industry prohibition measures if the illegal and untrustworthy behaviors are serious and affect power safety." [0003] In electricity market transactions, the default of market entities may cause huge economic l...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

Although most provinces in my country have carried out electricity trading, and there have been some related discussions on the risk management of the electricity market, however, the current risk management methods do not take into account the impact of the remedial measures taken by market players on market risks after a breach of contract occurs

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