Reservoir flood regulation multi-dimensional uncertainty risk analysis method based on Bayesian network
A Bayesian network and uncertainty technology, applied in the field of risk analysis of reservoir flood control dispatching, can solve problems such as uncertainty of water level storage capacity relationship, forecast error, reservoir and downstream flood control risks, etc.
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[0058] The present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments. Preferred embodiments of the present invention are described in detail below, however, the present invention is not limited to the specific details of the following embodiments. Within the scope of the technical concept of the present invention, various equivalent transformations can be made to the technical solutions of the present invention, and these equivalent transformations all belong to the protection scope of the present invention.
[0059] The risk analysis of reservoir flood control operation is essentially a problem of solving the joint probability distribution (PDF) of multiple variables. Due to the large number of variables, the complexity of directly using the joint distribution to solve the uncertainty is extremely high. Bayesian network is a kind of probabilistic inference network combining probability theory and graph theory. I...
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