Energy demand prediction method based on cuckoo algorithm optimized neural network

A neural network and demand forecasting technology, applied in the field of deep learning, can solve problems such as initial weights and thresholds falling into local optimal solutions, redundant modeling quantities, and affecting the accuracy of forecast results.

Pending Publication Date: 2021-05-18
GUANGDONG POWER GRID CO LTD
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Problems solved by technology

However, this method usually has the following problems: first, in data modeling, because there is no specific analysis of the factors that affect the total energy consumption, the number of models is redundant and the modeling process is complicate

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  • Energy demand prediction method based on cuckoo algorithm optimized neural network
  • Energy demand prediction method based on cuckoo algorithm optimized neural network
  • Energy demand prediction method based on cuckoo algorithm optimized neural network

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Embodiment Construction

[0058]Next, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be apparent from the embodiment of the present invention, and it is clearly described, and it is understood that the described embodiments are merely embodiments of the present invention, not all of the embodiments. Based on the embodiments of the present invention, those of ordinary skill in the art will belong to the scope of the present invention without all other embodiments obtained without creative labor.

[0059]It should be understood that the number of steps used herein is only for convenience of description, and is not limited to the predetermined order of the procedure.

[0060]It will be appreciated that the terms used in the specification of the present invention are merely the purposes of describing the particular embodiments. As used in the specification of the present invention and the appended claims, unless the context clearly specifies other conditions, the "one", "one" and "one" and ""...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an energy demand prediction method based on a cuckoo algorithm optimized neural network. The method comprises the steps: obtaining historical data of the total energy use amount of a to-be-predicted region, and carrying out the preprocessing to obtain a historical data matrix of the total energy consumption amount; solving each column of correlation coefficients of the matrix, and performing preliminary clustering on historical data in combination with a preset threshold value; adopting an improved K-means mean value clustering algorithm to carry out secondary clustering on the result of the preliminary clustering; optimizing the BP neural network by adopting a cuckoo algorithm until the BP neural network has an optimal weight and threshold value, and constructing an initial prediction model according to the BP neural network at the moment; and training the secondary clustering result according to the initial prediction model to obtain a target prediction model so as to predict the energy demand of the to-be-predicted region. According to the prediction method provided by the invention, the influence of regional difference on the energy demand can be comprehensively considered, the modeling number and complexity are effectively reduced, and meanwhile, the regional energy demand is accurately predicted.

Description

Technical field[0001]The present invention relates to the field of deep learning techniques, and more particularly to an energy demand prediction method based on a cumbersome algorithm optimized a neural network.Background technique[0002]Energy demand forecasts are of great significance for the development of national economies. At present, when performing energy demand forecasts, it is usually a historical data of the total consumption of energy consumption, combined with BP neural networks. However, this method usually has the following problems: First, due to the specific analysis of the influencing factors affecting the total amount of energy consumption in data modeling, the modeling process is complex; second, the second, using BP nerve When the network is predicted, it is easy to cause a local optimal solution due to the randomness of the initial weight and threshold, which in turn affects the accuracy of the prediction result. Therefore, how to provide a predictive method, i...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06K9/62G06N3/00G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N3/006G06N3/084G06N3/044G06N3/045G06F18/23213
Inventor 吴伟杰吴杰康张伊宁郑敏嘉李逸新黄欣李猛
Owner GUANGDONG POWER GRID CO LTD
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