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Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction

A technology for fault prediction and fault direction, which is applied in the testing of machines/structural components, measuring devices, and measuring ultrasonic/sonic/infrasonic waves, etc., can solve the problem of few results, reduce the rate of false alarms and missed alarms, and improve The effect of forecast accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2015-06-17
BEIJING INFORMATION SCI & TECH UNIV
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

At present, the research on fault prediction methods based on multivariate data has just started at home and abroad, and the results are relatively few.

Method used

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  • Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction
  • Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction
  • Failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction

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Embodiment Construction

[0032] The fault prediction method provided by the invention is based on figure 1 To proceed, follow the steps below:

[0033] Step 1), using historical normal process data X to establish an independent meta-analysis model, which describes the relationship between different locations and different types of sensors;

[0034] Step 2), select the relatively stable historical fault data X that has occurred before fault , to extract the fault direction matrix Ξ.

[0035] Step 3), according to the real-time measurement sample of sensor, detect the fault that occurs in the process;

[0036] Step 4), use the known fault direction Ξ to identify the fault, and further estimate the magnitude of the fault.

[0037] Step 5), modeling and predicting the obtained fault amplitude using a support vector machine (SVM) and an autoregressive (AR) model.

[0038] Step 1) includes:

[0039] Step 10), standardize and whiten the historical normal data, and assume that the number of variables is ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a failure prediction method based on ICA reconstruction, which includes the following steps: step 1, calculating a separative matrix W; step 2, calculating the statistic value I<2>(k), SPE(k) or I<2>e(k) of the real-time data Xnew(k) through adopting the formulas I<2>(k)=S'newd(k)<T> S'newd(k), I<2>e=S'newe(k)<T>*S'newe(k), SPE(k)=(xnew(k)-x'new(k))<T>*(xnew(k)-x'new(k)), S'newd(k)=Wd*xnew(k), and S'newe(k)=We*xnew(k), wherein Wd refers to the matrix formed by the lines expect the first d lines of the separative matrix W, We refers to the matrix formed by the lines except the first d lines of the separative matrix W, and X'new(k)=Q<-1>BdWd*xnew(k), Bd=(WdQ<-1>)<T>, Be=(WeQ<-1>)<T>, and Q refers to a whitening matrix; and step 3, calculating the nuclear density of I<2>(k), SPE(k) or I<2>e(k), and detecting failures as per the control limit. The method provided by the invention solves the problem that the traditional flue gas turbine prediction method can not utilize the multidimensional valid data, takes the multi-channel vibration data into consideration, can be used for directly predicating failures, and improves the prediction accuracy compared with the PCA reconstruction method.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of fault prediction, in particular to a fault prediction method based on Independent Element Analysis (ICA) reconstruction. Background technique [0002] Rotating machinery is the most widely used type of mechanical equipment in industry. The core equipment of many enterprises, such as large-scale high-speed compressors and steam turbines, which are widely used in petrochemical, electric power and other pillar industries, are all rotating machinery. Rotating machinery often has various types of faults that affect its normal work, and sometimes even cause accidents due to certain faults. Once an accident occurs, it will cause a chain reaction and the damage is immeasurable. In the worst case, it will affect production efficiency, and in severe cases, it will lead to equipment shutdown and production interruption, resulting in the failure of normal operation or even paralysis of the entire production process, or even ca...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G01M99/00G01H17/00
Inventor 马洁李钢王秋燕赵本利
Owner BEIJING INFORMATION SCI & TECH UNIV
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