Wind power prediction method based on self-learning composite data source autoregression model
A technology of wind power forecasting and autoregressive models, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as fluctuations in charging power of transmission networks, fluctuations in wind power, and photovoltaic power generation output
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[0049] The preferred embodiments of the present invention will be described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. It should be understood that the preferred embodiments described here are only used to illustrate and explain the present invention, and are not intended to limit the present invention.
[0050] A wind power prediction method based on self-learning composite data derived from regression model, including input data to obtain autoregressive model parameters,
[0051] And inputting the input data required for wind power prediction into the autoregressive model determined according to the parameters of the above autoregressive model to obtain the prediction result;
[0052] Carry out post-evaluation on the prediction results, that is, analyze the error between the predicted value and the measured value. If the prediction error is greater than the maximum allowable error, the autoregressive model AR (p) order determination and AR (p) model parameter estima...
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