The invention belongs to the technical field of
wind power prediction, and discloses an ultra-short-term
wind power prediction model construction method based on
signal decomposition and parameter optimization, and the method specifically comprises the following steps: S1, original
wind power data processing: employing a self-adaptive
noise complete set empirical mode
decomposition algorithm (CEEMDAN) to decompose the original wind power data; according to the method, a
hybrid model fusing a bidirectional gating cycle unit (BiGRU), a bidirectional time
convolution network (BiTCN) and a multi-head attention mechanism (MHA) is constructed, an improved parameter optimization
algorithm is designed, the capacity of the model for capturing wind power short-term fluctuation characteristics is enhanced, the parameter optimization efficiency is improved, the
local optimum problem is effectively avoided, and the method is suitable for the wind power short-term fluctuation characteristic capturing capability. According to the method, the limitation in traditional
feature extraction is effectively improved, high-precision and high-efficiency ultra-short-term wind power prediction is realized, a reliable basis is provided for optimizing a
power generation scheduling strategy for a power
system, and the method can be popularized and applied to multivariate
time sequence prediction scenes such as
wind speed prediction and
photovoltaic power generation prediction.