The invention discloses an interpretable short-term
wind power generation prediction method based on a Kolmogorov-Arnold network, and relates to the field of
wind power generation power prediction and
frequency domain modeling analysis of a power
system, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the multi-
source data collection of target power generation equipment in a historical
time range, constructing a prediction input
feature set, and carrying out the calculation of a prediction input
feature set; acquiring a generation power
time sequence and an environment correlation characteristic thereof; and according to the constructed input and output samples, constructing an initial KAN network and carrying out full-amount training. The method can provide
mathematical model support for modeling, prediction and characteristic analysis of the power
generation process of the
wind power station. By introducing a symbolized
activation function structure and a network
pruning mechanism, a function relationship between input characteristics and power generation output can be accurately identified under a limited
sample condition, and a prediction model with a clear mathematical analysis form is extracted, so that quantitative modeling and interpretable analysis of
new energy power prediction are realized, and the prediction efficiency is improved. And the expression accuracy and
engineering applicability of the model are improved.