785 results about "Weather prediction" patented technology

A double-path ultra-short-term wind power prediction method based on numerical weather forecast and multi-order time sequence dynamic gating fusion comprises the following steps: acquiring wind power generation historical data and numerical weather forecast data of a wind power plant, and screening weather factors highly related to wind power by using an MIC; the CEEMDAN is adopted to decompose the power sequence into a plurality of intrinsic mode functions (IMF); a dual-path prediction architecture is constructed, one path adopts xLSTM to predict an intrinsic mode function (IMF), all subsequences are superposed, and a prediction result is obtained; in the other path, the XGBoost is combined with key meteorological characteristics of an intrinsic mode function (IMF) and a numerical weather forecast (NWP) for prediction, and all the subsequences are superposed to obtain a prediction result; the method comprises the following steps: designing an MT-DGFusion module through an enhanced attention and dynamic gating network; and fusing the dual-path prediction results through an MT-DGFusion module to obtain a final prediction result. According to the method, double breakthrough of prediction precision and stability is realized, and a new technical path is provided for a complex time sequence prediction task.

The invention discloses an intelligent air conditioner water chilling unit control method and system based on predictive optimization. Operation data and weather forecast data are collected to establish a dynamic response reference, building cold load sudden change opportunity is recognized, the mismatching relation between magnetic suspension frequency and wet bulb temperature is detected, and energy-saving opportunity recognition data is generated to determine a cooling starting judgment table; identifying equipment response delay characteristics by using a dynamic response reference, extracting time sequence advantage parameters to determine dislocation configuration among multiple pieces of equipment, and generating coordination control parameters; cloud-local transmission delay analysis is carried out according to the coordination control parameters, and a coordination control sequence is generated through buffer opportunity identification and delay compensation; mechanical refrigeration suppression data is generated through energy efficiency mode classification, free cooling potential mining is implemented to form a cold source optimization factor, and an emergency response strategy is generated; an emergency response strategy is used to identify a multi-device linkage trigger critical zone, a prediction correction feedback network is constructed, a global collaborative optimization instruction is generated, and the system operation efficiency and the control precision are improved.

The invention discloses a photovoltaic power generation power prediction method and system based on a large language model. The method comprises the following steps: converting historical power data and numerical weather forecast data into time sequence embedded representation; through cross-modal semantic alignment, semantic embedding representation is generated; constructing a natural language prompt containing task context information, encoding the natural language prompt into prompt embedding, combining prompt embedding with semantic embedding representation to form a fusion input sequence, inputting the fusion input sequence into a pre-trained large language model, and outputting implicit features; synchronously generating an initial power prediction result and a weather prediction result obtained by correcting the numerical weather prediction data through a parallel collaborative prediction mechanism; and taking the meteorological prediction result as a correction signal, performing joint optimization on the preliminary power prediction result, and outputting a power generation power prediction value. According to the method, the problem of deep fusion of heterogeneous data is effectively solved, and the prediction accuracy is improved.

The invention provides a greenhouse environment adaptive regulation and control method and system, and relates to the technical field of environment control, and the method comprises the steps: collecting multi-dimensional environment parameters in a greenhouse; based on the environmental parameters, a preset crop growth period database and weather prediction data, taking minimization of a preset cost function as a target, and adopting a model prediction control algorithm to generate an equipment linkage instruction set in a future preset time period, the preset cost function fusing environmental regulation and control deviation and operation cost; issuing the equipment linkage instruction set to each execution equipment, and executing linkage regulation and control; wherein when the equipment linkage instruction set is generated, a conflict resolution mechanism based on a dynamic priority is adopted to determine an execution sequence of a plurality of equipment instructions; the adaptive regulation and control method integrating multi-source data verification, multi-scale prediction, dynamic priority conflict resolution and multi-target cost optimization improves the accuracy, economy and crop suitability of greenhouse environment regulation and control.

The invention relates to a photovoltaic power grid energy storage optimization regulation and control method based on multi-scale prediction. The method comprises the following steps: A1, obtaining historical power generation data, real-time meteorological data and numerical weather forecast of a photovoltaic power station; a2, generating a multi-time-scale photovoltaic output prediction sequence; a3, establishing an energy storage dynamic model of charge and discharge efficiency, capacity attenuation and operation constraint; a4, generating an energy storage charging and discharging demand curve under different time scales; a5, constructing a multi-time scale coupled optimization model by taking power grid operation cost minimization and renewable energy consumption maximization as targets; a6, updating an energy storage scheduling instruction in a rolling manner based on latest prediction data by adopting a model prediction control framework; a7, monitoring the deviation between the actual photovoltaic output and the power grid load, and dynamically adjusting the energy storage charging and discharging power; and A8, correcting a prediction error through Kalman filtering and a closed-loop feedback mechanism. According to the invention, high-efficiency operation can be realized, and power grid cost minimization and renewable energy consumption maximization can be realized.

The invention discloses an intelligent operation and maintenance scheduling and resource optimization method and system for a new energy power station, and belongs to the technical field of data processing and management.The method comprises the steps that real-time power generation data, equipment sensor data, weather forecast data, a power grid scheduling instruction and electricity market electricity price information of the new energy power station are obtained; a unified data matrix is generated through space-time alignment processing to execute bidirectional feedback prediction, and a corrected power generation plan is generated; a cooperative scheduling decision is generated through a multi-target dynamic balance algorithm, and a personnel dispatching scheme and a material allocation path are generated through real-time path planning; and generating a historical decision data set based on the execution result and the actual execution deviation, and adjusting prediction parameters and scheduling parameters through an incremental learning model. A closed-loop optimization method combining data fusion, collaborative prediction, multi-target scheduling and adaptive learning is adopted, global collaborative optimization of multiple factors such as power generation, operation and maintenance, energy storage and markets can be achieved, and the economic benefit and the intelligent level of overall operation of a power station are improved.

The invention relates to the field of optical storage, and particularly discloses an optical storage system cooperative control method and device, a terminal and a medium, and the method comprises the steps: collecting multi-dimensional data in real time, including photovoltaic array data, user side load data, power grid side information data, meteorological data and weather forecast information; generating a photovoltaic power generation power prediction curve, a user load demand prediction curve and a power grid electricity price prediction curve by using the multi-dimensional data through a machine learning model; and taking the current state of the optical storage system and each prediction curve as input parameters, carrying out optimization problem solving based on a multi-objective optimization function and constraint conditions through a model prediction control algorithm, generating an optimal control sequence in a period of time in the future, and controlling corresponding equipment through the optimal control sequence. According to the method, the response speed to uncertainties such as illumination abrupt change and load fluctuation is increased, source-storage-load-network coordination is realized, the sub-optimal problem of independent control of each unit is avoided, the operation cost is reduced, and renewable energy consumption is improved.

The invention discloses a photovoltaic power generation power prediction method and system based on multi-source data fusion. The method comprises the steps of obtaining historical operation data of a target photovoltaic power station and historical meteorological data corresponding to the historical operation data; based on the historical operation data and the historical meteorological data, constructing and training a historical deviation mode correction downscaling model, and correcting future coarse resolution meteorological forecast data provided by a numerical weather forecast model to obtain refined meteorological forecast data of a target photovoltaic power station site scale; on the basis of the refined meteorological prediction data, utilizing a physical-statistical coupling prediction model to predict the future generation power of the target photovoltaic power station; according to the historical deviation mode correction downscaling model, a targeted correction function is established by analyzing a systematic deviation mode between a theoretical prediction value and an actual observation value in historical data, and conversion from coarse resolution prediction to site scale microscopic meteorology is realized, so that the photovoltaic power generation power prediction precision is improved.

The invention discloses a high-precision distributed photovoltaic output prediction method and system based on micrometeorology and feature hierarchical clustering, and relates to the technical field of distributed photovoltaic output prediction.The method comprises the steps that numerical weather forecast data are collected, an initial micrometeorological field is generated through space-time alignment and self-adaptive KNN interpolation, and the initial micrometeorological field is subjected to feature clustering; a WRF-LES system and a bidirectional LSTM are combined to establish cross-scale mapping, a dynamic residual correction field is fused to generate hectometer-level high-resolution micrometeorological data, and the problem of insufficient resolution of traditional numerical forecasting is solved. MIC and PA-DTW are used for jointly analyzing the characteristics of the power station, and dynamic clustering is achieved through a sliding time window and incremental spectral clustering. According to the method, a physical information graph network and causal expansion convolution are coupled to extract features, federal learning cross-power-station cooperative training is combined, the distributed photovoltaic output prediction precision and robustness are improved, and privacy security is considered.

The invention discloses a drainage basin intelligent flood control scheduling method and system based on digital twinborn, and relates to the technical field of flood control and disaster mitigation, and the method comprises the steps: collecting static data and dynamic data of a drainage basin, building a hydrological and hydrodynamic coupling model based on the static data and the dynamic data, and forming a drainage basin digital twinborn body; inputting the received numerical weather forecast into the digital twin of the watershed for simulation, generating a plurality of flood routing scenes in a future time period, and calculating a dynamic flood risk probability graph; the method comprises the following steps: constructing a simulation training environment by using historical flood data and a high-precision drainage basin digital twinborn body, carrying out offline training on a scheduling strategy network in the simulation training environment based on a reinforcement learning algorithm, and outputting a scheduling instruction according to a real-time drainage basin state to complete training of the scheduling strategy network. According to the method, the core problem that the traditional method is insufficient in decision timeliness and weak in adaptive capacity in an uncertain environment is effectively solved.

The invention belongs to the technical field of intelligent energy and power system automatic control, and particularly relates to a cross-level collaborative regulation and control system integrating meteorological prediction, power market and equipment state, which comprises a central collaborative controller, a data acquisition unit, a communication network and an execution terminal, the data acquisition unit is used for acquiring meteorological data, power load data, electric energy consumption cost data and equipment operation state data in real time; the execution terminal at least comprises a photovoltaic inverter, an energy storage converter and a charging pile controller; the central cooperative controller is configured to execute three cooperative optimization closed loops, namely, a data fusion and prediction closed loop, a multi-target dynamic optimization closed loop and a multi-time scale control closed loop. According to the system and the method provided by the invention, the problems of real-time performance and accuracy of multi-source heterogeneous data fusion are solved; the balance optimization bottleneck of multiple targets such as economy, stability and environmental protection in the dynamic process is broken through; full-time-scale seamless cooperative control from second-level emergency response to hour-level economic dispatching is realized; and the self-adaptive capability and the overall performance of the system in different application scenes are improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of photovoltaic prediction, in particular to a distributed photovoltaic power prediction method and system based on high-dimensional gridding numerical weather forecast, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the standardization of the numerical weather forecast data and photovoltaic power historical data of a target region, and achieving the time-space alignment based on a preset grid, generating a gridding data set; utilizing convolution processing to extract local space features, and converting and fusing the local space features into a feature sequence containing space and historical time sequence information at the same time; modeling is carried out through an encoder-decoder architecture, an encoder excavates historical power dependence, and a decoder dynamically couples future meteorological characteristics with historical power through an attention mechanism and outputs a grid-level predicted value; aggregating to obtain a system total power prediction result; by establishing a unified space-time grid, refined alignment of data is realized, cross-space-time dynamic fusion is performed in combination with convolution and an attention mechanism, and prediction precision and stability can be kept in complex weather.

The invention provides a coordination control method and device of a photovoltaic energy storage inverter for automobile charging based on artificial intelligence, and belongs to the technical field of automobile photovoltaic energy storage coordination control, and the method comprises the steps: monitoring the output power of a photovoltaic array, the state of charge (SOC) of an energy storage system, the state of a power grid and the power demand of a load in real time; a reinforcement learning algorithm is introduced, weather forecast and historical load data are combined, photovoltaic output and load demands in a future time period are predicted, and a power distribution instruction is generated; deciding a current operation mode and generating a mode switching instruction; seamless switching between grid connection and grid disconnection is controlled, and after switching is completed, the charging and discharging proportion of the lithium battery and the super capacitor is coordinated; integrating the energy storage real-time state and the power distribution instruction, and optimizing and adjusting the control parameters of the inverter in real time; continuously monitoring a running state and a switching process, and starting a standby mode when a fault is detected; and the data is uploaded to a monitoring platform. The system operation is efficiently optimized, the service life is prolonged, and stability is guaranteed.

The invention relates to the technical field of strategy optimization, and discloses a regional weather prediction method and system based on a meteorological large model, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining a terrain influence weight matrix; inputting into a spatial distribution feature model, outputting an optimized spatial distribution feature set, and realizing space-time registration through Kriging interpolation to obtain a spatial distribution feature set of local weather; extracting a seasonal change trend, and executing deviation correction to obtain a deviation correction coefficient; updating the weight matrix and performing coupling calculation to generate a coupling parameter set; generating a prediction result according to the coupling parameter set, and if the precision is lower than a threshold value, generating computing resource configuration; combining the resource configuration, the updating weight matrix and the spatial feature set to carry out weather prediction to obtain a prediction result; and finally, generating a rainfall intensity distribution diagram, performing differentiation correction, and outputting a regional weather prediction result. The method can achieve the high-precision prediction of the weather in the complex region.

The invention relates to the technical field of artificial intelligence and electric power system prediction, and discloses a wind power short-term output prediction method based on multi-modal data, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the multi-modal data, such as historical output, numerical weather forecast, actually measured weather of an anemometer tower, landform and fan operation state; performing sliding window segmentation on the output sequence and identifying a mutation interval; calculating a local optimal alignment path of each mode in the mutation interval based on a dynamic time warping algorithm; non-uniform resampling is carried out in this way, and a time-synchronized multi-modal alignment feature sequence is generated; and inputting a hybrid neural network formed by a gating circulation unit and an attention mechanism, and outputting a high-precision output prediction value in the next 15 minutes. The system comprises corresponding function modules. According to the method, through dynamic time alignment and cross-modal feature fusion, the wind power short-term prediction precision is remarkably improved, the root-mean-square error in a sudden change scene is reduced by 23.7%, and reliable support is provided for power grid dispatching.

The invention discloses a composite precipitation cloud layer identification method based on a laser radar-cloud radar, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the observation data of the laser radar and the cloud radar, and carrying out the data matching of the observation data; processing a signal of the laser radar in a height interval of 18-20 km to obtain a preprocessed laser radar signal; performing laser radar cloud boundary identification based on a VED algorithm, and endowing different laser radar cloud scores according to the signal attenuation rate and the signal gradient; removing earth surface clutters by using a threshold method based on observation of spectral width and Doppler velocity; carrying out cloud radar significant echo recognition based on a threshold method, and determining the cloud score of the cloud radar according to different reflectivity factor signal intensities; determining a light rain area and a heavy rain area according to the Doppler velocity; cloud layer boundary information and a hairy rain area are obtained through cloud layer recognition result fusion, and cloud layer recognition and rainfall area recognition are completed; according to the invention, the accuracy of weather prediction is improved.

The invention provides a multi-scale photovoltaic power prediction method and system fusing numerical weather forecast and a physical information neural network, relates to the technical field of photovoltaic power prediction, and realizes rolling prediction of future meteorological parameters and horizontal radiation intensity through numerical weather forecast. The authenticity and the stability of the meteorological data are effectively improved by combining quantile mapping and cascade correction of the time sequence mode attention neural network; and through combined modeling of a physical information neural network and a time sequence characteristic network, meteorological and radiation data subjected to multi-level correction and conversion are deeply fused with a photovoltaic system physical law, and high-precision prediction of photovoltaic power is realized. The whole prediction process has automatic anomaly elimination and deletion complementation capabilities, the prediction robustness under complex meteorological conditions and extreme environments is enhanced, and the sequential response and physical consistency of photovoltaic power are optimized, so that the engineering applicability and intelligent level of the system are greatly improved.

A prediction method of solar-generated power includes: storing past data obtained by associating weather data and power generation data of a solar cell output via a PCS for at least one year before a prediction target day; calculating a sunny power generation curve from the past data; obtaining an annual transition curved line indicating an annual transition of a total power generation amount; obtaining a sunny power generation model from the sunny power generation curve so as to match the annual transition curved line; obtaining a the sunny power generation model for the entire year; obtaining a weather coefficient; and acquiring a weather forecast and obtaining prediction generated power from the sunny power generation model and the weather coefficient.

The invention relates to a meteorological deduction method and device fusing physical constraints and a neural network, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining multi-source meteorological data, and constructing a spatial-temporal feature input tensor; the spatio-temporal feature input tensor is subjected to standardization processing and then input into a deep learning network model, and a future weather prediction result is obtained; the model extracts time sequence evolution features and space attention features through a neural network module and a space attention module respectively, and integrates the time sequence evolution features and the space attention features in a splicing form; for a forecast task of a future gamma day, a deep learning network model and a physical mode are adopted for prediction respectively, and a splicing time point is determined according to an error minimum principle, so that splicing of prediction results is carried out; when the physical mode is used for prediction, the improved regional numerical weather prediction model is used as a basis, atmospheric basic equation sets are integrated, and weather prediction at future moments is carried out. Compared with the prior art, the method has the advantages that the atmospheric physical law and data driving advantages are fused, and the extreme weather prediction precision and stability are improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of energy management and prediction, discloses a new energy base power supply capacity calculation method based on high-frequency weather forecast, and aims to solve the problem of insufficient prediction precision and robustness when an existing new energy power generation power prediction model processes high-frequency nonlinear meteorological data. The calculation method comprises the following steps: constructing a meteorological physical causal knowledge graph; carrying out physical constraint guided multi-scale modal decomposition based on the atlas; building a hierarchical predictor network to predict photovoltaic power; and establishing a closed-loop feedback loop of prediction error attribution and model self-calibration. By adopting the above technical scheme, the method can solve the defects of traditional decomposition, improve the effectiveness, prediction accuracy and interpretability of feature engineering, achieve the adaptive optimization of the model, and maintain the high-precision and high-robustness power supply capability calculation performance.

The RIME-RF spatial downscaling-based photovoltaic output prediction method comprises the steps of collecting photovoltaic power data and local meteorological observation LMD data of a photovoltaic power station in a target area, extracting common data of numerical weather forecast NWP data and the local meteorological observation LMD data, and constructing an input feature set; the method comprises the following steps: optimizing hyper-parameters of a random forest (RF) algorithm based on a frost ice optimization (RIME) algorithm, constructing an RIME-RF model, and performing spatial downscaling on numerical weather forecast NWP data; a VMD-CNN-GRU-SE attention mechanism photovoltaic power prediction model optimized based on BKA is adopted, original numerical weather forecast NWP data is combined with photovoltaic power data to train the prediction model, and numerical weather forecast NWP data after spatial downscaling is combined with the photovoltaic power data to train the prediction model. According to the prediction method, changes of fine meteorological factors influencing the photovoltaic power can be more accurately captured, downscaling errors are remarkably reduced, and short-term power prediction precision is improved.

The invention provides a wind field inversion method and device based on multi-source prior data, equipment and a medium, and the method comprises the steps: building a target function of a three-dimensional fusion wind field based on the multi-source prior data and a fluid mechanics model simulation wind field, carrying out the iterative optimization of the target function, and determining the three-dimensional fusion wind field; constructing an initial deep learning neural network model, taking the three-dimensional fusion wind field as a truth value label, inputting the urban underlying surface features, the terrain elevation and the numerical weather forecast wind field into the deep learning neural network model, and training to obtain a target deep learning neural network model; and inputting the new numerical weather forecast wind field, the urban underlying surface features and the terrain elevation into the target deep learning neural network model, and outputting a refined wind field. According to the technical scheme provided by the embodiment of the invention, through the trained deep learning neural network model, high-precision rapid inversion of the low-altitude wind field is realized without depending on laser radar and ground observation data and depending on prior information such as numerical prediction and terrain.

The invention relates to the technical field of power systems and automation thereof, in particular to a generative adversarial network-based source-load joint scene generation method, which comprises the following steps of: constructing a multi-source time sequence database and extracting weather, time, space and historical state driving factors; establishing a joint probability distribution model based on a vine connection function; taking a numerical weather forecast path and a date type as conditional input, constructing a generative adversarial network embedded with a physical constraint microloss function of the power system, and forming a physical information generator; performing dependent structure fidelity verification on the generated scene by using the joint probability distribution model; generator parameters are fixed, potential space vectors are optimized through a gradient ascending method to maximize power grid risk indexes, and a high-risk source-load joint scene set is generated. According to the technical scheme, accurate generation of the source-load joint scene which is physically feasible and reasonable in statistics and focuses on the high-risk working condition is realized, and the safe operation toughness and the risk early warning capability of the novel power system are remarkably improved.

The invention discloses a numerical weather forecast deviation correction method and system based on physical conservation optimization. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring a specified prognostic variable in a numerical weather forecast system; inputting the prognostic variable into a prediction deviation correction model pre-trained by a loss function based on physical conservation optimization so as to obtain a deviation correction prediction result of numerical weather prediction; in the loss function of the physical conservation optimization, the physical conservation optimization refers to adding part or all of Coriolis force and barometric gradient force loss, static equation constraint derivation loss and vertical integral loss to the loss function of the value weather forecast deviation correction model. The invention aims to solve the problem of systematic deviation correction in mid-term numerical forecasting, better capture the complex dependency relationship in meteorological data, quantify the uncertainty of numerical weather forecasting and improve the forecasting precision.

The invention discloses a distributed photovoltaic output prediction method and system in changeable weather, and the method comprises the steps: firstly obtaining historical photovoltaic station operation data, and carrying out the processing through a photovoltaic data preprocessing model: carrying out the feature engineering through timestamp feature extraction and multi-scale wavelet transformation, and combining a clustering algorithm with an anomaly detection algorithm, thereby achieving the prediction of the distributed photovoltaic output. Dividing and purifying the data into a plurality of weather type data sets; then, for each weather type data set, an independent photovoltaic output prediction model is trained, and the model is composed of an LSTM layer, a multi-head attention layer and a full connection layer; during prediction, the weather type attribution of the real-time data is firstly judged, and then the corresponding pre-training model is called to complete prediction. Weight calculation of multiple attention layers is dynamically guided by using frequency domain features extracted by wavelet transform, adaptive modeling of global features and local details is realized, and the accuracy and robustness of distributed photovoltaic output prediction are improved.

The invention relates to the technical field of low-temperature gasification and heat management, and discloses an ice layer monitoring prediction and self-adaptive control device for a liquid hydrogen air temperature type gasifier. A data acquisition unit of the device acquires the running state of the gasifier and multi-source sensor data of an external environment; the weather prediction unit obtains weather change information in a future period and calculates a comprehensive influence coefficient of weather on the operation state of the gasifier; the data fusion and processing unit calculates an ice layer thickness correction value of each monitoring node according to the data of the multi-source sensor; the threshold value judgment unit judges the icing state of the node, and after the node is judged to be in the icing state, a judgment index representing the icing risk and the ice layer development trend is calculated; and the control response unit switches a deicing mode and executes a corresponding deicing control strategy according to the change state of the judgment index, and switches a high-energy-consumption deicing mode, a low-energy-consumption deicing mode and an observation mode. The deicing energy consumption of the gasifier is reduced, and the operation stability and the heat efficiency are improved.

The invention provides a micrometeorological prediction method and system, and belongs to the technical field of meteorological prediction. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring data of an unmanned aerial vehicle sensor, a ground meteorological station, satellite remote sensing and numerical weather forecast, and respectively constructing feature vectors of data sources; performing weighted average fusion on the multi-source feature vectors based on an attention mechanism at a target space-time position to obtain a fusion feature matrix; and training a target neural network by using the fusion feature matrix of the plurality of space-time positions, and taking the trained target neural network as a micro-meteorological prediction model to realize high-precision prediction of future micro-meteorological elements. According to the method, multi-source heterogeneous data and a deep learning technology are fused, the temporal-spatial resolution and accuracy of micrometeorological prediction are effectively improved, and the method is particularly suitable for unmanned aerial vehicle flight safety early warning and route dynamic optimization.

The invention relates to the technical field of data assimilation processing, in particular to a WRFDA assimilation method, system and device based on GIIRS data. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring GIIRS data, extracting data from the GIIRS data, and merging and checking the data to obtain checked GIIRS observation information; performing deviation correction on the background field data of the numerical weather forecasting mode by using an RTTOV rapid radiation transmission mode to obtain simulation data after stable deviation correction; performing cloud pollution screening on the GIIRS observation information after inspection and the simulation data after deviation correction to obtain GIIRS observation information without cloud pollution; wRFDA numerical assimilation is carried out on the GIIRS observation information without cloud pollution, an initial field file is obtained, and the initial field file is used for adjusting and optimizing an output weather forecast result. According to the method, a more accurate initialization file is obtained, and the simulation accuracy of the typhoon precipitation area is more accurately improved.

The invention discloses an observation station data assimilation method based on deep learning, and belongs to the technical field of meteorological data assimilation, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining forecast background field data of a Fuhu meteorological big model, obtaining observation station data, the observation data comprises the actual measurement data of a ground meteorological observation station, a radar, a sounding station and a wind profile observation station, and the actual measurement data of the ground meteorological observation station, the radar, the sounding station and the wind profile observation station; performing spatial interpolation, time alignment and standardization on the background field and the observation data, and introducing position codes and time codes; constructing a deep learning assimilation model based on a sliding window Transform, inputting a background field and observation data, and outputting an assimilation analysis field result; and the effectiveness of the method is verified through comparison and evaluation with fifth-generation global atmosphere reanalysis data of the European mid-term weather forecast center. According to the method, the fineness and the physical consistency of local meteorological elements can be remarkably improved while the integrity of large-scale forecasting is kept, and high-precision assimilation of meteorological forecasting data is realized.

The invention discloses an active fluctuation collaborative stabilizing method and system for a high-proportion distributed new energy power grid, and relates to the technical field of power grid dispatching. According to the method, a physically consistent weather prediction model is established through multi-source meteorological data fusion, and a regional fluctuation propagation rule is accurately captured; identifying a high-risk fluctuation cluster based on dynamic time warping and spectral clustering, simulating a fluctuation propagation path by using a digital twin platform, and quantifying resource requirements; energy storage resource configuration is optimized by adopting mixed integer programming and a column generation algorithm, and multi-dimensional stability verification is carried out through a digital twin environment; a self-adaptive optimization mechanism based on reinforcement learning is established, continuous evolution of the system is realized, the technical bottlenecks of a traditional method in the aspects of fluctuation perception, resource allocation, system self-adaption and the like are solved, a collaborative stabilization mechanism with accurate prediction, intelligent recognition and decision optimization is formed, and a complete solution is provided for safe and stable operation of a high-proportion new energy power grid.