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A short-term wind speed forecast method for wind power generation

A wind speed and algorithm technology, applied in the field of short-term wind speed forecasting, to achieve high precision, accurate forecast, and reduce interference

Active Publication Date: 2021-12-28
SHANGHAI DIANJI UNIV
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  • Claims
  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0018] The present invention proposes a short-term wind speed forecast method based on CM-kNN algorithm to accurately forecast wind speed, the purpose is to solve the defects of existing forecast methods

Method used

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  • A short-term wind speed forecast method for wind power generation
  • A short-term wind speed forecast method for wind power generation
  • A short-term wind speed forecast method for wind power generation

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Embodiment Construction

[0023] Such as figure 1 Shown, the short-term wind speed forecast method based on CM-kNN algorithm (correlation matrix kNN algorithm) of the present invention, comprises

[0024] (1) Use the CM-kNN algorithm to preprocess the wind speed sample points. The specific operation steps of CM-kNN are:

[0025] a1) Use the training sample X to reconstruct each test sample Y, use the least squares loss function to represent the residual sum, and generate a sparse solution W, as follows:

[0026]

[0027] W=[w1,...,wm] represents the reconstruction coefficient or similarity matrix between the training sample and the test sample, and the L1-norm regularization term R 1 (W)=||W|| 1 =∑ i ∑ j |w ij |, has been shown to yield a sparse solution W.

[0028] a2) To remove the noise existing in the sample, consider the L2, 1-norm regularization term, which can make W generate the entire row of sparseness during the reconstruction process, that is, the row is sparse, defined as follows:...

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Abstract

A short-term wind speed forecast method for wind power generation. Firstly, the CM-kNN algorithm is used to find the k wind speed samples most similar to the measured wind speed sample points, and then the short-term wind speed forecast is modeled on the training samples by using the support vector machine. Finally, The current wind speed is predicted based on several wind speed prediction values ​​obtained from the prediction model.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of wind power generation, in particular to a short-term wind speed forecasting method. Background technique [0002] In recent years, due to the increase of energy consumption and the aggravation of environmental pollution, the demand for new energy is also increasing. Among them, due to its natural advantages, wind energy has attracted more and more attention from all over the world. Although the wind power technology is becoming more and more mature, due to the fluctuation and uncertainty of wind power, it does not match the balance of wind power required when wind power is connected to the grid. influences. Therefore, accurate forecasting of wind power is very important. Since the most important factor influencing wind power is wind speed, accurate forecasting of wind speed is a key point in forecasting wind power. [0003] At present, wind speed forecasting methods can be roughly summarized as physic...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/06Y04S10/50Y02A30/00
Inventor 张贵丁云飞
Owner SHANGHAI DIANJI UNIV