A Method for Predicting the Scale of Events in Social Media via Dynamical Properties

Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting the scale of events in social media through dynamic characteristics. (2) Sampling the heat of the basic heat event with a variable period, and then calculating the heat of the basic heat event is in the process of acceleration or deceleration through the law of variable speed motion after sampling. If the heat of the basic heat event The heat is in the process of accelerating, and the results of the variable speed movement are used to predict whether the basic heat event has the possibility of becoming a large-scale event and the arrival time when it may become a large-scale event. The invention maps event development to variable-speed movement, takes the possible development scale of the event as an expectation, calculates the possibility and arrival time, and can perform more direct and effective real-time measurement of the event scale, with higher efficiency and more accurate accuracy.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of information technology, in particular to a method for predicting the scale of events in social media through dynamic characteristics. Background technique [0002] With the rapid and high-speed development of the mobile Internet, everyone has entered the era of self-media, the interaction is more real-time and convenient, and the cost is lower. Regardless of the size of events on the Internet or in reality, the rapid and widespread dissemination of social media platforms has gradually deepened their impact on social life, policies and regulations, and people's mentality. Issues such as event monitoring and public opinion guidance have attracted great attention from government departments at all levels and enterprises and institutions. Therefore, the real-time monitoring of social media, especially the prediction of the future development of "potential risk" events is the most important reference in event monitorin...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

At this time, according to the traditional way of accumulating first and then summarizing, because it needs more time for the accumulation of emerging events for relevant analysis and summary, there will inevitably be a lag period. Such a vacuum interval is very likely to affect the development of events. Judgment, missing the best time for public opinion guidance, leading to the natural vicious development of the incident, affecting the normal and stable order of society

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