Risk exploration well exploration decision-making method and system
A decision-making method and risk-based technology, applied in the field of oil and gas exploration, can solve problems such as strong subjectivity, and achieve the effects of wide application range, good operability and practicability
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[0082] Taking the first batch of risk exploration wells of Sinopec in 2016 as an example, the exploration decision-making method for risk exploration wells of the present invention is described. In 2016, Sinopec reported a total of 19 risk exploration wells in the first batch. The main areas include the Cambrian in Tarim, the lower marine assemblage in Sichuan, the Carboniferous in Junggar and the piedmont, the "three new" areas in the east, and the Ordovician in southern Hubei.
[0083] The risk exploration well exploration decision-making method of the present invention comprises the following steps:
[0084] Step 1: Calculate the expected return of risk exploration wells, exclude risk exploration wells with expected returns less than zero, then calculate the success probability and value of risk exploration wells, and calculate the post-risk value of risk exploration wells based on the success probability and value of risk exploration wells, the greater the post-risk value ...
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