A building energy consumption prediction method based on a recurrent neural network and a multi-task learning model

A cyclic neural network and multi-task learning technology, applied in biological neural network models, prediction, neural architecture, etc., can solve problems such as low accuracy and the inability of unified prediction and prediction process for multiple loads, to simplify the update process, speed up the training speed, The effect of improving forecast accuracy and speed

Active Publication Date: 2019-04-26
XI'AN POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY
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Problems solved by technology

[0006] The purpose of the present invention is to provide a building energy consumption prediction method based on a cyclic neural network and a multi-ta

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  • A building energy consumption prediction method based on a recurrent neural network and a multi-task learning model
  • A building energy consumption prediction method based on a recurrent neural network and a multi-task learning model
  • A building energy consumption prediction method based on a recurrent neural network and a multi-task learning model

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Embodiment Construction

[0050] Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing and specific embodiment, the present invention is described in detail, and concrete process structure is as follows image 3 as shown,

[0051] Step 1. Obtain a sample set of building energy consumption data, and use the method of "data averaging at multiple similar time points" to fill in missing data at individual time points. The specific method is as follows:

[0052] Missing data x for a certain type of energy consumption i , let the collection time point be t i , select the time step s, if the time interval unit between sample points is hour, then s is 24 hours, if the time interval unit between sample points is day, then s is 30 days, and so on to determine the size of s . Choose time point as t i The sample points corresponding to ±ns(n=1,2,...), where t i The range of ±ns is within the range of time points corresponding to the first sample point and the last sample point.

[0053] The processed data set struc...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a building energy consumption prediction method based on a recurrent neural network and a multi-task learning model, relates to the technical field of comprehensive energy management, and solves the technical problems of parallel prediction of multiple types of energy consumption, guarantee of prediction precision and shortening of model training time. The method comprisesthe following steps: acquiring a building energy consumption data sample; The method comprises the following steps of: carrying out missing data processing by utilizing a plurality of similar time point data averaging, constructing a plurality of learning tasks according to an energy consumption type, a time step length and initial time, then normalizing a data set of each learning task, and measuring the similarity among a plurality of task training sets by using a Pearson correlation coefficient. After the similarity among multiple tasks is ensured, a neural network model is created and trained, and finally, a multi-task CIFG-LSTM neural network model is used for predicting composite energy consumption. According to the energy consumption prediction method, the multivariate energy consumption can be predicted at the same time, close connection and interaction between the energy consumption are fully utilized, and the prediction precision and speed are improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of multiple load forecasting, and relates to a building energy consumption forecasting method based on a cyclic neural network and a multi-task learning model. Background technique [0002] The integrated energy management system is composed of multiple energy networks such as electricity, heat, cold, and gas. It is of great significance to give full play to the complementary advantages of various energy sources, promote the transformation of energy structure, and promote my country's energy revolution. Accurate and fast energy consumption prediction is an important part of the reliable and efficient operation of the integrated energy management system. In order to make reasonable planning and effective use of energy, it is necessary to accurately predict the energy consumption in the short term in the future. At present, the energy consumption prediction technology for a single type of energy is very mature...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/08G06N3/04
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/08G06N3/045Y02D10/00
Inventor 薛涛李月溶
Owner XI'AN POLYTECHNIC UNIVERSITY
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