Ground temperature observation data analysis method based on adaptive kernel density estimation algorithm
A technology of kernel density estimation and analysis method, which is applied in the field of analysis of surface air temperature elements by improved kernel density estimation algorithm, and can solve problems such as insufficient analysis of causes of temperature changes, regional and seasonal differences, and complex factors of temperature changes , to achieve the effect of effective analysis and application
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[0057] The results obtained by comparing the algorithm in Example 2 under the surface air temperature observation data cannot meet the minimum mean square error, which shows that this method is not fully applicable to the surface air temperature observation data, so it is necessary to re-determine the selection method of the optimal window width. The optimization method proposed in this embodiment is: based on the optimal window width formula, a new window width formula is given: Among them, the parameters c and a are variable. In order to make the obtained kernel density estimation curve close to the real situation of the data, an intelligent optimization algorithm is used to determine the parameters c and a, so that the smaller the RMSE value, the better. After the improvement The formula is:
[0058]
[0059] Where n is the sample size, K(x) is the Gaussian kernel, is the adaptive window width coefficient, and the parameters c and α are to be determined. The present ...
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