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Ground temperature observation data analysis method based on adaptive kernel density estimation algorithm

A technology of kernel density estimation and analysis method, which is applied in the field of analysis of surface air temperature elements by improved kernel density estimation algorithm, and can solve problems such as insufficient analysis of causes of temperature changes, regional and seasonal differences, and complex factors of temperature changes , to achieve the effect of effective analysis and application

Pending Publication Date: 2019-07-16
NANJING UNIV OF INFORMATION SCI & TECH
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Problems solved by technology

Most of the traditional temperature analysis methods are based on the time series to predict and analyze the future change trend. From the perspective of space, experts and scholars from various countries have also conducted a series of researches. However, the factors affecting the temperature change are very complex and have obvious regional characteristics. with seasonal differences
Existing studies have insufficient analysis of the causes of temperature changes

Method used

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  • Ground temperature observation data analysis method based on adaptive kernel density estimation algorithm
  • Ground temperature observation data analysis method based on adaptive kernel density estimation algorithm
  • Ground temperature observation data analysis method based on adaptive kernel density estimation algorithm

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Embodiment

[0057] The results obtained by comparing the algorithm in Example 2 under the surface air temperature observation data cannot meet the minimum mean square error, which shows that this method is not fully applicable to the surface air temperature observation data, so it is necessary to re-determine the selection method of the optimal window width. The optimization method proposed in this embodiment is: based on the optimal window width formula, a new window width formula is given: Among them, the parameters c and a are variable. In order to make the obtained kernel density estimation curve close to the real situation of the data, an intelligent optimization algorithm is used to determine the parameters c and a, so that the smaller the RMSE value, the better. After the improvement The formula is:

[0058]

[0059] Where n is the sample size, K(x) is the Gaussian kernel, is the adaptive window width coefficient, and the parameters c and α are to be determined. The present ...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a ground temperature observation data analysis method based on an adaptive kernel density estimation algorithm, and belongs to the field of ground temperature observation dataanalysis. According to the method, a self-adaptive algorithm is introduced on the basis of a traditional fixed window width kernel density estimation algorithm, namely, an adaptive coefficient is introduced into a window width parameter, the influence caused by the sparse degree of the sample observation value can be effectively reflected, then the adaptive algorithm is improved, the window widthparameter is replaced with the optimal window width, the result obtained under the ground air temperature observation data meets the requirement that all mean square errors are minimum, and the improved adaptive method is completely suitable for the ground air temperature observation data.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of surface air temperature observation data analysis, in particular an improved kernel density estimation algorithm is invented to analyze surface air temperature elements. Background technique [0002] In recent years, the trend of global warming has become more and more obvious, and temperature changes have brought serious impacts on society. Therefore, it has attracted extensive attention from scholars from all over the world, and many meaningful conclusions have been obtained for this research. As far as our country is concerned, there are many researches on areas with special geographical location such as plateaus and basins, and many achievements have been made, while the research on the southeast region where the temperature is relatively stable is insufficient. Most of the traditional temperature analysis methods are based on the time series to predict and analyze the future change trend. From the perspective ...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06F17/18
CPCG06F17/18Y02A90/10
Inventor 叶小岭阚亚进熊雄陈昕王佐鹏
Owner NANJING UNIV OF INFORMATION SCI & TECH
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