The invention discloses a method and a
system for predicting the service life of a rolling bearing in
multiple failure modes based on Weibull distribution, and relates to the technical field of rolling bearing service life prediction. In order to solve the problem that the service life discreteness of a rolling bearing is large due to
multiple failure modes such as early failure, random failure and fatigue failure under different working conditions, the method comprises the following steps: firstly, determining first prediction time by using a random
convolution kernel binary regression model, and dividing failure
time data based on the first prediction time; a plurality of failure
modes are identified by using Weibull distribution; secondly, through a
particle filter (PF) dynamic updating mechanism and a soft
resampling technology, improving a
cell gate and a hidden state of a long and
short term memory network (LSTM), constructing a
particle filter and long and
short term memory network (PF-LSTM) fusion prediction model, and enhancing
adaptive capacity to complex working conditions; and finally, constructing a multi-criterion
loss function by using the probability density function of the Weibull distribution and the
mean square error again, and further improving the prediction precision of the PF-LSTM by integrating the traditional
mean square error and the priori knowledge of the Weibull distribution. Experiments prove that the method provided by the invention can predict the service life of the rolling bearing in
multiple failure modes, compared with a traditional LSTM method, the average absolute error is reduced by 13.69%, and in addition, compared with a CNN-LSTM model, the prediction average
score is improved by 0.169.