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43 results about "Errors and residuals" patented technology

In statistics and optimization, errors and residuals are two closely related and easily confused measures of the deviation of an observed value of an element of a statistical sample from its "theoretical value". The error (or disturbance) of an observed value is the deviation of the observed value from the (unobservable) true value of a quantity of interest (for example, a population mean), and the residual of an observed value is the difference between the observed value and the estimated value of the quantity of interest (for example, a sample mean). The distinction is most important in regression analysis, where the concepts are sometimes called the regression errors and regression residuals and where they lead to the concept of studentized residuals.

Six-dimensional force sensor calibration method based on intelligent algorithm and ensemble learning

The invention discloses a six-dimensional force sensor calibration method based on an intelligent algorithm and ensemble learning, which improves calibration precision and system adaptability by combining data anomaly detection, the intelligent algorithm and the ensemble learning. The calibration method comprises the following steps: S1, building a six-dimensional force sensor calibration system; s2, loading and unloading experiments of force and torque are carried out on the six-dimensional force sensor on the standard calibration table, and multi-channel analog signal data output by the six-dimensional force sensor are obtained; s3, repeating the operation in the step S2 for a plurality of times; s4, data anomaly detection; s5, performing preliminary calibration by adopting a multiple linear regression model to obtain a preliminary decoupling matrix of the six-dimensional force sensor; s6, calculating error data after multiple linear regression calibration, and taking the error data as input characteristics of subsequent error compensation; s7, performing error compensation based on the residual neural network; and S8, determining calibration precision and outputting a final model.
Owner:HANGZHOU INST FOR ADVANCED STUDY UCAS

Load model identification error analysis method and device, equipment and storage medium

The invention relates to the technical field of power system modeling and simulation, in particular to a load model identification error analysis method, device and equipment and a storage medium, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining the prediction output and the measurement output of a preset load model, and building a target function based on the error between the prediction output and the measurement output; decomposing the measurement output to obtain an actual output and a noise component of a preset load model; and based on the objective function and the actual output, establishing a linear model between the identification error of the preset load model and the noise component through a first-order approximation method, and performing linear regression according to the linear model to obtain an analysis result of the identification error. Therefore, by constructing the theoretical model of the load model identification error, the problems that the identification error is difficult to predict, the data processing strategy selection lacks theoretical guidance and the like in related technologies are solved, and a theoretical basis is provided for selecting an optimal load modeling data processing strategy.
Owner:TSINGHUA UNIVERSITY +1

Method and system for detecting a harmful shift in a machine learning model

A method and system for detecting harmful shift in a machine learning (ML) model associated with unlabeled data utilized by the ML model. The method includes implementing an error estimator model with regressor algorithm and training the error estimator model with a first portion of a labeled calibration dataset. The method further includes computing, by the trained error estimator model, an error estimation threshold based on a second portion of the labeled calibration dataset; predicting a performance of the ML model by detecting the harmful shift via the trained error estimator model analyzing the unlabeled data over a predetermined time period and determining a proportion of estimated errors associated with the unlabeled data over the predetermined time period that exceeds the error estimation threshold; and generate an alert when the proportion of estimated errors exceeds the error estimation threshold.
Owner:JPMORGAN CHASE BANK NA

Terahertz spectrum quantitative analysis method for rubber mixture

Aiming at the problem that high-sensitivity and high-accuracy quantitative analysis is difficult to realize when a traditional detection method is used for a complex multi-component mixture, the invention discloses a terahertz spectrum quantitative analysis method for a rubber mixture. Based on a terahertz spectrum technology and in combination with an improved rhodeus ocellatus optimization algorithm (IFBO), accurate detection of the content of two trace anti-aging agents (NBC and 44S) in a five-component rubber mixture is realized. Through systematic experimental design and spectral analysis, differentiation characteristics of different anti-aging agent proportions in a time domain and an absorbance spectrum are determined, and SG preprocessing, PCA and SPXY data set division methods are utilized, so that the signal-to-noise ratio of spectral data and the model generalization ability are effectively improved. A support vector regression (SVR) model is introduced according to small-sample and high-dimensional nonlinear spectral data characteristics, and the significant advantages of IFBO in parameter optimization are verified by comparing the optimization effects of GA, PSO and FBO. Experimental results show that the correlation coefficient (Rp) of the IFBO-SVR model on a prediction set reaches 0.9879, the root mean square error (RMSEP) is reduced to 0.0024, and compared with a traditional algorithm, the method has higher accuracy and stability. The invention not only provides an efficient technical scheme for rapid detection of trace anti-aging agents in complex matrixes, but also lays a theoretical foundation and basis for quality control of rubber products and environmental safety assessment.
Owner:GUILIN UNIV OF ELECTRONIC TECH

Large model reasoning acceleration method and device for grouping perception quantification and residual error correction

The invention relates to the technical field of artificial intelligence model optimization, in particular to a large model reasoning acceleration method and device for packet sensing quantization and residual correction, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the statistical analysis of the weight and activation of each layer of a large model, and generating a channel feature matrix; constructing a learnable grouping mapping matrix, dividing channels into different groups, and dynamically distributing quantized bit width to obtain a grouping weight matrix; on the basis of the channel weight-activation joint sensitivity, calculating each grouping error contribution on line by using a small prediction model, and adjusting a grouping weight matrix to generate an optimized weight matrix; constructing an error control matrix to dynamically adjust the quantization error along the propagation path, and generating a correction matrix; dynamically adjusting the sparse rate and the quantization precision according to the channel feature matrix and the hardware constraint by combining a structured sparse strategy, and generating a sparse quantization matrix; in the reasoning process, model reasoning is carried out according to the correction matrix and the sparse quantization matrix, and the weight matrix and the correction matrix are updated and optimized in a closed-loop mode.
Owner:HENAN TECHN COLLEGE OF CONSTR

Method and apparatus for single epoch position bounding

ActiveCN113281793BSatellite radio beaconingPosterior probability densityA priori probability
The invention relates to a method and apparatus for single epoch position bounding. A method for determining a protection level for a position estimate using a single epoch of GNSS measurements, the method comprising: specifying a prior probability density of states x P(x); specifying a system model h(x) relating states x to measured observations z; quantifying a quality metric q associated with the measurements; specifying a non-Gaussian residual error probability density model f(r|θ,q) and fitting the model parameters θ using a set of experimental data; defining a posterior probability density P(x|z,q,θ); estimating states x; and calculating the protection level by integrating the posterior probability density P(x|z,q,θ) over states x.
Owner:U-BLOX

Method for predicting pore pressure based on petrophysical modeling and multiple linear regression

The present application provides a pore pressure prediction method based on rock physics modeling and multiple linear regression, relates to the oil and gas exploration and development technical field, and the method comprises the following steps: S1: selecting a plurality of reference wells in a secondary structural unit for overpressure analysis; S2: pre-processing the logging data of the reference wells and analyzing the overpressure causes; S3: performing fluid replacement by using the Gassmann equation, and performing solid replacement by using the Brown-Korringa theory, and calculating the rock elastic modulus; S4: selecting an anisotropic soft pore model to calculate the rock effective velocity; S5: performing sensitivity analysis on the elastic parameters and the pressure coefficient; S6: constructing a multiple linear regression model with the elastic parameters having the best correlation with the pressure coefficient, and predicting the pore pressure; and S7: comparing and verifying the prediction result with the Eaton method. The present application avoids the problem of errors caused by relying on the normal compaction trend line, fits the elastic parameters having good correlation with the pressure by using multiple linear regression, comprehensively considers the influence of multiple variables, and has higher prediction and interpretation capability.
Owner:CNOOC TIANJIN BRANCH

A quantitative evaluation method for the output error probability distribution of a parallel local model of a power system

This invention provides a quantitative evaluation method for the probability distribution of output error in a parallel local model of a power system, comprising the following steps: S1 using a Gram-Charlier series to approximate an unknown error probability density function, including unknown quantities g3 and g4; S2 modeling the probability density function of the output error of the parallel local model based on the statistical results of test sample errors, solving for unknown quantities g3 and g4, and obtaining the probability density function of the output error of the parallel local model. By combining the statistical results of test sample errors with the Gram-Charlier series, the probability density function of the output error of the parallel local model is modeled, and the accuracy of the modeling method is analyzed. It is found that the error probability density function established based on the Gram-Charlier series is more accurate than other methods.
Owner:TSINGHUA UNIVERSITY

Coarse error detection method, gross error detection equipment, readable storage medium and product

The invention provides a gross error detection method, gross error detection equipment, a readable storage medium and a product, and relates to the technical field of positioning. The method comprises the following steps: inputting a satellite observation value into an RTK filter, and obtaining a residual error output by the RTK filter at the current moment and a prediction variance covariance matrix of the residual error; determining an error in a unit weight according to the residual error and the predicted variance covariance matrix, and calculating a dynamic threshold value according to the error in the unit weight; according to a preset experience threshold value and a dynamic threshold value, performing first gross error elimination on the residual error to obtain a first residual error sample; according to the condition number of the predicted variance covariance matrix, performing second gross error elimination on the first residual error sample to obtain a second residual error sample; and performing de-correlation calculation on the second residual error sample construction, and performing adaptive robust filtering on a de-correlation residual error subset. According to the method, gross error elimination is carried out from a data layer and a model layer, and more accurate and efficient RTK gross error detection capability is achieved.
Owner:CHINA MOBILE SHANGHAI ICT CO LTD +2

Regression pressure regulation stripping method for radio jet component correspondence and track pattern recognition

PendingCN121659266ARadiation particle trackingLinearityVisualization methods
The invention discloses a VLBI measurement multi-epoch data fitting and visualization method based on a regression voltage regulation stripping algorithm. The method is suitable for identification and matching of a radio astronomical jet flow component trajectory. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, reading multi-epoch observation data and carrying out self-adaptive preprocessing to extract effective data; the core is to strip an entanglement component through double-loop iterative fitting; a main loop identifies a local trajectory mode based on sampling point pseudo normal distribution; in the secondary cycle, a curve is fitted through orthogonal distance regression, extrusion-fine tuning is carried out by utilizing an adjustable cycle gain and a dynamic threshold value, and the corresponding relation of components among multiple epochs is automatically matched. According to the method, non-uniform sampling and linear and non-linear trajectories can be processed, and finally fitting parameters, physical quantities, a corresponding relation table and a multi-subgraph visualization result integrating fitting curves, residual errors and probability distribution are output. The whole process is highly automatic, false components are effectively eliminated through cross validation, the precision and efficiency of jet flow motion characteristic analysis are remarkably improved, and subjective errors are reduced.
Owner:XINJIANG ASTRONOMICAL OBSERVATORY CHINESE ACADEMY OF SCI

Engineering cost estimation system based on statistical regression algorithm

The invention discloses an engineering cost estimation system based on a statistical regression algorithm, and relates to the technical field of engineering cost, and the system comprises five modules: a data collection and preprocessing module, a core feature screening module, an initial model construction module, an error attribution and iterative optimization module and a final estimation module. Constructing an initial model, outputting an error index, carrying out layered optimization iteration on the error, finally receiving target data, processing the target data, calculating the total cost, and outputting a multi-dimensional estimation result; according to the method, a whole-process data processing mechanism is constructed, the data collection range is defined, the data are processed into structured data, core features are accurately screened, and the estimation accuracy is improved; the algorithm design is innovated, multi-dimensional information is integrated, closed-loop optimization is formed by means of the error traceability decomposition and iterative optimization technology, the estimation reliability and adaptability are improved, and a multi-dimensional estimation result is output.
Owner:DEZHOU UNIV

Method and device for identifying continuous increase or decrease trend of vibration of large rotating equipment

The invention relates to the technical field of vibration recognition, and provides a method and a device for recognizing the vibration continuous increase or decrease trend of large rotating equipment. The method comprises the following steps: acquiring monitoring data of a vibration measuring point of to-be-monitored large rotating equipment, wherein the monitoring data comprises a vibration value corresponding to each data acquisition moment acquired based on the vibration measuring point in a data acquisition period; performing linear regression fitting on the monitoring data to generate a regression equation; according to the monitoring data and the regression equation, the increment and the root-mean-square error are calculated respectively; and comparing the increment with a product of the sample capacity of the monitoring data and a preset growth coefficient, and comparing a root-mean-square error with a preset root-mean-square error reference value so as to perform continuous increase and decrease trend identification on the monitoring data and generate a trend identification result. According to the method, the monitoring burden of operators can be obviously reduced, problems can be found in time in the early stage of faults, and time is bought for judgment and disposal of the operators.
Owner:润电能源科学技术有限公司

Statistics-based data assimilation method and system

The invention discloses a data assimilation method and system based on statistics, and relates to the technical field of data assimilation, and the method specifically comprises the steps: obtaining real-time multi-source observation data, carrying out the correlation analysis, obtaining a correlation coefficient, and obtaining fused multi-source observation data; constructing an error change curve based on the error set of the corresponding time sequence observation value and the corresponding time sequence prediction value; obtaining error statistical characteristics to obtain assimilation weights; updating parameters of the background analysis field prediction model; inputting an observation value corresponding to the multi-source observation data obtained in real time into the updated background analysis field prediction model to obtain an assimilated prediction value; constructing a minimum error function, inputting the assimilated predicted value and an observed value corresponding to the multi-source observation data obtained in real time into the minimum error function to obtain a minimum error, and performing comparative analysis on the minimum error and a preset minimum error threshold to obtain a comparative analysis result; and completing data assimilation.
Owner:HUANENG CLEAN ENERGY RES INST +2

Method and system for covariance matrix estimation

ActiveUS12586131B2FinanceHeteroscedastic modelLogit
A method for estimating a covariance with respect to a plurality of bonds is provided. The method includes: receiving historical bond market returns data; using a first algorithm based on an Auto-Regressive-Moving-Average (ARMA) model to calculate ARMA model regression errors based on the historical bond market data; using a second algorithm based on a logarithmic Generalized AutoRegressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model to calculate an estimated volatility vector based on the ARMA model regression errors; using the ARMA model regression errors and the calculated volatility vector to estimate a time-varying covariance matrix of the ARMA model regression errors with respect to the historical bond market data; using the estimated time-varying covariance matrix of the ARMA model regression errors and the calculated volatility vector to estimate a time-varying covariance matrix of the bond returns; and using the estimated time-varying covariance matrix to calculate a set of predicted hedge ratios.
Owner:JPMORGAN CHASE BANK NA

Temperature time alignment and error compensation method for a ctd

The application discloses a temperature time domain alignment and error compensation method of a temperature-salinity-depth instrument, and relates to the technical field of temperature-salinity-depth instrument measurement, and the specific steps are as follows: firstly, the original temperature sequence of the temperature-salinity-depth instrument and the temperature true value sequence of a high-precision reference instrument are synchronously collected, time domain alignment of the original temperature sequence is completed through root mean square error minimization search, based on the aligned temperature sequence, the first-order temperature change rate and the second-order temperature change rate dynamic characteristics are calculated, and a multi-dimensional feature vector is constructed; the actual residual error of the aligned temperature sequence and the temperature true value sequence is taken as a learning target, a random forest nonlinear regression model is trained, a residual error compensation amount is fitted, and a final corrected temperature sequence is output. Compared with the traditional linear model method, the root mean square error of temperature measurement of the model method is significantly reduced, the nonlinear dynamic error under the strong dynamic variable temperature working condition is effectively inhibited, the measurement precision and the robustness of the temperature-salinity-depth instrument are improved, and the application requirements of ocean observation are met.
Owner:SHANDONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH

Background error covariance matrix generation method, apparatus, terminal and storage medium

This application provides a method, apparatus, terminal, and storage medium for generating a background error covariance matrix, relating to the field of numerical weather prediction technology. The method includes: constructing a short-term forecast sample set for a target numerical weather prediction; extracting control variables for each background error sample in the short-term forecast sample set; calculating the regression coefficients of each control variable to construct a balance operator; inputting the short-term forecast sample set into a pre-constructed characteristic length scale field generation model, outputting the characteristic length scale field of each background error sample, and constructing a horizontal correlation operator; calculating the vertical correlation scale of each control variable at each horizontal position to construct a vertical correlation operator; calculating the background error standard deviation of each control variable at each grid point to construct a standard deviation operator; and using the balance operator, horizontal correlation operator, vertical correlation operator, and standard deviation operator to obtain the background error covariance matrix. This application can reduce the computational complexity of the horizontal correlation operator and improve computational efficiency.
Owner:TIANJIN RES INST FOR WATER TRANSPORT ENG M O T +2

A laser galvanometer automatic focusing method based on polynomial regression algorithm

ActiveCN120669383BAlgorithmGalvanometer
This invention relates to an automatic focusing method for laser galvanometers based on a polynomial regression algorithm, including variable definition, data collection of sample data within different power ranges from 10% to 80%, and data preprocessing; employing a piecewise polynomial regression model, and adding an L2 regularization term to the model to prevent overfitting; and minimizing the observed value D. i The model parameters are estimated using the sum of squared errors between the predicted and actual values. The model is used to predict values ​​in real time. When the absolute value of the deviation ∈ between the predicted and actual roundness values ​​D exceeds the threshold Th, the galvanometer height H or laser power P is dynamically adjusted to make D approach the target value D. target =0; the system is based on the optimal height H * The Z-axis position of the galvanometer is adjusted in real time to focus the laser beam at the optimal position; the deviation between the actual value D and the predicted value ∈ is periodically collected to update the regression model coefficients. This invention enables precise focusing of the laser beam, improving product consistency and yield.
Owner:NINGDE SKEQI INTELLIGENT EQUIP CO LTD

Aircraft high-dimensional temperature prediction method under wide-area high-altitude task environment

The application provides a wide-range high-altitude task environment aircraft high-dimensional temperature prediction method, comprising the following steps: step one: temperature-time first prediction based on regression analysis; step two: temperature-time secondary prediction based on nonlinear fitting and error random representation; step three: temperature-height prediction based on empirical formula and dynamic interpolation; step four: temperature-longitude and latitude prediction based on dynamic interpolation; and step five: high-dimensional temperature fusion prediction. The application comprehensively utilizes mathematical statistics methods such as regression analysis, nonlinear fitting, linear (nonlinear) interpolation and empirical formula to construct a temperature factor prediction model related to four-dimensional variables including time, height, longitude and latitude, so that a reasonable temperature long-term prediction value can be output when any four-dimensional coordinate in the given aircraft task process, thereby providing guidance for the task process.
Owner:BEIHANG UNIV

Knowledge-constrained industrial process K-order graph convolutional network soft measurement method

The invention discloses a knowledge-constrained industrial process K-order graph convolutional network soft measurement method. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, converting industrial data into a three-dimensional structure through sliding window processing, and constructing a graph topology among process variables by utilizing a maximum mutual information coefficient and expert knowledge so as to capture a long-distance dependency relationship; the core of the model fuses K-order graph convolution and a self-attention mechanism, key features are effectively extracted, and redundancy is suppressed; and meanwhile, a Bayesian linear regression model is introduced, so that the robustness and interpretability of the model are enhanced. And on the training strategy, regenerative kernel Hilbert space loss is innovatively adopted, interference of causal-free relational variables is effectively eliminated, and model parameters are jointly optimized with mean square errors. And the finally trained model can accurately predict the quality variable only according to the process variable. According to the method, the receptive field, the anti-noise capability, the generalization capability and the prediction stability of the soft measurement model are remarkably improved, and the problems that a traditional data driving model is too heavy in black box and insufficient in reliability are solved.
Owner:NINGBO INST OF TECH ZHEJIANG UNIV ZHEJIANG

A container throughput prediction method based on stacked ensemble learning

The application discloses a container throughput prediction method based on stacked ensemble learning, and relates to the technical field of intelligent ports. In the system operation, multi-source data is collected from a port operation system, an economic statistics platform and a shipping database, a comprehensive feature system containing throughput, freight rate, transportation time, policy variable, seasonal characteristics and macroeconomic indicators is constructed, and serialization and standardization processing are performed, and an improved model is constructed. The improved CNN-LSTM model introduces a deep separable convolution, a bidirectional LSTM and an improved attention mechanism to enhance the representation ability of key time steps, adopts Bayesian optimization to automatically search for hyperparameters, combines an early stopping strategy to control overfitting, simultaneously realizes multi-model integration based on inverse error weighting and meta-learning linear regression model, adaptively adjusts the rolling prediction window size according to the data coefficient of variation, generates future multi-period throughput prediction results through multi-step rolling prediction, and performs denormalization output.
Owner:ZHEJIANG UNIV

Integrated learning method for regression prediction task, storage medium and equipment

The embodiment of the invention provides an ensemble learning method for a regression prediction type task, a storage medium and equipment, and the method comprises the steps: S1, carrying out the sorting, integration and trimming of all basic models in an integrated model based on errors and diversity, and determining a final model subset; and S2, constructing an individual learner corresponding to the integrated model based on the model subset. According to the embodiment of the invention, not only can the performance of each integrated regression model be further optimized, but also the calculation cost, the training time and the reaction time of the integrated model can be reduced, and the practicability and the timeliness of the integrated model are effectively improved.
Owner:CSSC SYST ENG RES INST

Runoff probability prediction error correction method based on interpretability driving

The invention discloses a runoff probability prediction error correction method based on interpretability driving, and the method comprises the steps: constructing a residual error sample set, quantifying the directional nonlinear contribution intensity of a hydro meteorological factor to a prediction residual error through a directional weighting interpretability analysis method, and recognizing a residual error dominant driving factor; constructing a situation diagnosis model introducing contribution constraints, performing situation classification on the high residual samples, and generating a structured correction instruction set; a dynamic closed-loop correction framework is constructed, feature reconstruction based on dominant factors and residual compensation based on situations are executed, and a corrected deterministic runoff prediction sequence is generated through iterative updating; and calculating a direction weighting contribution heterogeneity index of the driving factor, adaptively adjusting a bandwidth parameter of probability density estimation, and generating medium and long term runoff probability prediction distribution. According to the method, the integration of mechanism diagnosis, closed-loop correction and uncertainty expression of prediction errors is realized.
Owner:HOHAI UNIV

Building earthquake damage index prediction method based on optimized XGBoost regression model

The invention relates to the technical field of building earthquake damage index prediction, in particular to a building earthquake damage index prediction method based on an optimized XGBoost regression model, and provides a reverse correction algorithm for the limitation problem of discrete data. The algorithm is based on a prediction model, effective information in sample errors is deeply mined, real information of samples is mined by means of a closed-loop mechanism of reverse tracing-dynamic correction-loop optimization, the sample quality is systematically improved from a data source, and a solid foundation is laid for establishment of the prediction model. The problems that a traditional earthquake damage prediction method depends on rough classification and is large in deviation due to insufficient high-intensity data, and an existing machine learning model is insufficient in data preprocessing and discrete data processing are solved, the prediction precision and applicability are remarkably improved, the earthquake resistance difference of a single building can be reflected more accurately, and the prediction accuracy is improved. And reliable technical support is provided for earthquake disaster assessment and disaster prevention and reduction.
Owner:CHONGQING UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY

Multi-terminal flexible DC power grid distribution robust damping optimization method considering random fluctuation

The invention discloses a multi-terminal flexible DC power grid distribution robust damping optimization method considering random fluctuation. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, building a second-order approximation model of a damping ratio about control parameters and wind power around a dominant oscillation mode; secondly, a Gaussian mixture model is adopted to describe statistical characteristics of wind power prediction errors, and a Wasserstein distance-based distribution uncertainty set is constructed around empirical distribution; expressing a'minimum damping lifting / constraint 'target as a distributed robust optimization problem, and converting the worst expected target and constraint into deterministic convex optimization by using GMM analysis statistics and quadratic form properties; and finally, the optimal parameters of the additional damper are obtained and issued for application. According to the method, robust setting is performed on any approximate distribution under the condition of not depending on accurate prior distribution, the critical modal damping can be remarkably improved, the probability border crossing risk can be inhibited, and the method has the advantages of being low in calculation overhead and robust in setting effect.
Owner:STATE GRID SHAANXI ELECTRIC POWER CO LTD ECONOMIC & TECHNICAL RESEARCH INSTITUTE

Data processing method and terminal for generalized calibration of intervention effect in power grid prediction model

The invention discloses a data processing method and a terminal for generalization calibration of an intervention effect in a power grid prediction model, and aims to solve the technical problem that an existing prediction model has extrapolation deviation in a future concurrent intervention scene due to pursuit of optimal fitting, and the core of the method comprises the following steps: generating an anti-fact baseline through a time sequence model; a total disturbance residual error sequence is decoupled; dividing the historical intervention data into a calibration set and a verification set; training a regression model containing interaction items based on the calibration set, and obtaining a basic statistical coefficient; introducing a parameterized calibration function, and optimizing and solving an engineering calibration coefficient by taking minimization of a verification set prediction error as a target; and finally synthesizing engineering control parameters, and performing feed-forward correction on the downstream prediction model. The corresponding system comprises modules for executing the steps. According to the method, the systematic deviation during extrapolation can be automatically corrected without depending on an external reference, and the generalization prediction capability and reliability of the model facing a brand new intervention scene are remarkably improved.
Owner:STATE GRID FUJIAN ELECTRIC POWER CO LTD +1

Combined temperature forecast correction method and system

PendingCN122045765AWeather condition predictionICT adaptationTemperature forecastingAtmospheric sciences
The invention provides a combined temperature forecast correction method and system, and relates to the technical field of weather forecast. According to the method, three kinds of errors are systematically corrected, and the climate mode temperature forecast deviation is corrected. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, considering an error source of temperature forecast, and respectively disassembling observation temperature data and original forecast temperature data in a training period into three independent components, namely a mean term, a trend term and a residual term; and using conditional Gaussian correction to optimize the residual term error, and keeping the rank correlation structure of the original ensemble forecast. And according to requirements, performing mean value correction, trend correction and residual error correction on the original forecast temperature data, combining a mean value correction result, a trend correction result and a residual error correction result of the original forecast temperature data, and outputting a combined temperature forecast correction result. The method is used for temperature forecast correction and has the advantages of being good in correction effect, flexible to use, efficient in calculation and the like.
Owner:SUN YAT SEN UNIV

A method and system for positioning control of a packaging box

This application relates to the field of positioning control technology, and discloses a method and system for positioning control of packaging boxes. The method includes: collecting distance values ​​from both sides of the packaging box to calculate the positional deviation; constructing a time-series sequence and filtering it to obtain a noise-reduced deviation sequence; substituting the noise-reduced sequence into a third-order linear regression model to calculate the predicted deviation and generate an advance adjustment command; selecting either feedforward or feedback control output based on a comparison of the predicted error and a switching threshold; and fusing the two control outputs using a sigmoid function when the error is in the transition range to obtain a flexible transition command. This application improves the smoothness of packaging box positioning control and the stability of the capping quality.
Owner:LUOYANG QINGJIE PETROCHEMICAL PLANT

Multi-source data fusion wind resource assessment data preprocessing method and system

PendingCN121636909AData processing applicationsWind resource assessmentAnalysis data
The invention discloses a wind resource assessment data preprocessing method and system based on multi-source data fusion, and relates to the technical field of wind energy resource assessment and wind power plant design. The preprocessing method comprises the following steps: carrying out anomaly identification and cleaning on an anemometer tower and reanalysis data; spatial matching is achieved through terrain weighted interpolation, and the two types of data are unified to the height of the fan hub in combination with a wind shear formula; establishing a linear regression model based on the overlapping time periods to carry out system deviation correction; and performing classification completion according to the length of the missing measurement time period, performing adjacent data interpolation in a short time, and performing compensation by combining corrected reanalysis data with a local trend in a long time, thereby finally generating a continuous, reliable and representative long-term wind speed sequence. The data sequence generated by the method is high in continuity, small in error and stable in distribution and is applied to a plurality of mountain wind power projects, the prediction deviation of the generating capacity is reduced to be within 6% from original 12% or above, and the reliability of engineering economy evaluation is remarkably improved.
Owner:HUANENG CLEAN ENERGY RES INST +2

Method and apparatus of single epoch position bound

ActiveUS12631768B2Satellite radio beaconingPosterior probability densityDensity model
A method for determining a protection level of a position estimate using a single epoch of GNSS measurements, the method includes: specifying a prior probability density P(x) of a state x; specifying a system model h(x) that relates the state x to observables z of the measurements; quantifying quality metrics q associated with the measurements; specifying a non-Gaussian residual error probability density model ƒ(r|θ, q) and fitting model parameters θ using a set of experimental data; and defining a posterior probability density P(x|z, q, θ); estimating the state x; and computing the protection level by integrating the posterior probability density P(x|z, q, θ) over the state x.
Owner:U-BLOX

Adaptive statistical modeling method and system for mesoscale vortex spatio-temporal evolution characteristic parameters

The invention discloses a self-adaptive statistical modeling method and system for mesoscale vortex spatio-temporal evolution characteristic parameters. The method comprises the following steps: cooperatively acquiring initial parameters of a target sea area through a satellite altimeter and an Argo buoy array; calculating a vortex characteristic scale Rd based on a Ross-Be deformation radius formula; defining a state vector, and establishing a nonlinear state equation to construct a spatio-temporal evolution statistical model; dynamically correcting a prediction error by adopting variational Bayes-square root cubature Kalman filter (VB-SRCKF); obtaining vortex kinetic energy spatial distribution EKE, and processing a flow velocity abnormal component by adopting a discretization grid integral method; an incidence matrix Mlink is generated, and the element Mlink (i, j) of the incidence matrix Mlink is formed by linear combination of EKE and SLA; dimensionality reduction is carried out on the Mlink based on t-SNE manifold learning, and nonlinear features of vortex intensity-radius-life cycle are extracted; the method has the advantages of noise adaptive correction, nonlinear feature recognition enhancement, VB-SRCKF parallelization acceleration, manifold learning acceleration and the like.
Owner:CHINA STATE SHIPBUILDING CORP LTD RESEARCH INSTITUTE 719