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Power grid enterprise investment capability prediction method based on power transmission and distribution supervision and examination method

A prediction method and technology for power transmission and distribution, applied in the field of technical power transmission and distribution, can solve problems such as a large amount of data, and achieve the effect of avoiding strong subjectivity and improving asset utilization.

Pending Publication Date: 2022-07-05
STATE GRID ZHEJIANG ELECTRIC POWER
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  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

For example: a method based on system dynamics, but this method has the disadvantage of subjective judgment; in addition, there is a prediction method based on support vector machine, but it has the disadvantage of requiring a large amount of data, which limits its use to a certain extent

Method used

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  • Power grid enterprise investment capability prediction method based on power transmission and distribution supervision and examination method
  • Power grid enterprise investment capability prediction method based on power transmission and distribution supervision and examination method
  • Power grid enterprise investment capability prediction method based on power transmission and distribution supervision and examination method

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Embodiment Construction

[0032] In order to facilitate the understanding of those skilled in the art, the present invention will be further described below with reference to the embodiments and the accompanying drawings, and the contents mentioned in the embodiments are not intended to limit the present invention.

[0033] A method for predicting the investment capability of a power grid enterprise based on the power transmission and distribution supervision and examination method includes four steps, which are described in detail below.

[0034] Step S1, first collect the financial data of a power grid company from 2017 to 2021, as shown in Table 1 below, including allowable income, actual income, allowable income, retained profit, depreciation, new investment, and enterprise current asset stock , total assets, total liabilities and new equity capital.

[0035] Table 1 Relevant financial data of power grid companies from 2017 to 2021 (100 million yuan)

[0036] years 2017 2018 2019 202...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a power transmission and distribution supervision method-based power grid enterprise investment capability prediction method. The method comprises the steps of collecting financial data of a power grid enterprise in each year; constructing an internal fund measurement and calculation model and an external fund measurement and calculation model for calculating the fund condition of the power grid enterprise; the financial data are respectively sent into an internal fund calculation model and an external fund calculation model, the internal fund calculation model adopts Lingo to perform calculation to obtain an internal fund maximum value of each year of the power grid enterprise, and the external fund calculation model performs calculation to obtain an external fund maximum value of each year of the power grid enterprise; and correspondingly summing up the maximum value of the internal fund and the maximum value of the external fund of the power grid enterprise in each year to obtain the maximum investment capacity of the power grid enterprise in each year. According to the method, the investment capability of the power grid enterprise can be reasonably and effectively predicted, support is provided for the power grid enterprise to make an investment plan, and information can be provided for a power transmission and distribution supervision department to adjust a supervision method to promote ordered development of a power market.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of power transmission and distribution, in particular to a method for predicting the investment capability of a power grid enterprise based on a power transmission and distribution supervision and examination method. Background technique [0002] After the reform of the transmission and distribution price, the permitted income of power grid enterprises consists of permitted income, permitted costs and in-price taxes. Power grid enterprises should not only use power demand, power supply capacity and grid reliability as the basis for investment, but also reasonably manage and control costs. Own investment ability, realize scientific investment decision-making of power grid enterprises, and improve investment income. The investment of power grid enterprises is different from general investment activities, and has its own particularity. The investment in power grid is huge and the returns are slow. It is a typi...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q40/06G06Q10/06G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06F17/11
CPCG06Q40/06G06Q10/04G06Q10/0639G06F17/11G06Q50/06Y04S10/50
Inventor 何英静邬樵风叶顺然李帆周林但扬清沈舒仪朱克平王曦冉沈志恒孙飞飞钱佳佳陈佳玺
Owner STATE GRID ZHEJIANG ELECTRIC POWER
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