The application provides a
travel time prediction method fusing uncertainty modeling, and belongs to the field of intelligent traffic and navigation. The method first acquires static road network features, dynamic traffic features and road section external features, constructs a road network
directed graph and defines a
route R, finds feature values corresponding to road sections in R, constructs initial node embedding and initial edge embedding, and constructs a prediction model; after preprocessing of initial values, each layer of graph
convolution network updates node embedding and edge embedding through modeling of interaction between nodes and edges, and finally obtains iterative node embedding and edge embedding; position encoding is performed on the processed
route to construct a matrix PE;
route embedding is obtained by adding the final node embedding and PE, multi-head attention is performed on the route embedding, and then average
pooling is performed to obtain
arrival time representation; uncertainty quantization and correction are performed on the
arrival time representation to obtain predicted
arrival time and upper and lower bounds. The application quantizes the uncertainty of the time prediction result.