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Probabilistic production simulation method comprehensively considering load and wind power temporal characteristic

A comprehensive consideration and simulation method technology, applied in the direction of instruments, data processing applications, calculations, etc., can solve problems such as difficult to accurately describe wind power generation, time series information loss, etc.

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-01-27
HEFEI UNIV OF TECH +2
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Problems solved by technology

Equivalenting wind turbines to conventional multi-state unit models can show the probability of wind turbine output, but due to the loss of time series information, it is difficult to accurately describe the impact of wind power generation anti-peaking characteristics; wind power is treated as a negative load, directly Subtracting from the load has certain feasibility for small-scale wind power grid connection

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  • Probabilistic production simulation method comprehensively considering load and wind power temporal characteristic
  • Probabilistic production simulation method comprehensively considering load and wind power temporal characteristic
  • Probabilistic production simulation method comprehensively considering load and wind power temporal characteristic

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Embodiment Construction

[0101] Such as figure 1 As shown, in this embodiment, the stochastic production simulation method that comprehensively considers the load and the timing characteristics of wind power is carried out as follows:

[0102] Step 1. Obtain the generator set data, wind power resource data and time-series load data of the power system in the research period T, and obtain the original time-series load curve from the time-series load data, which is recorded as Load1;

[0103] The generating sets in step 1 include thermal power generating sets, hydroelectric generating sets and nuclear power generating sets; generating set data includes the type of generating sets (segmentation), number, capacity, upper and lower limits of output, mean time between failures MTTF, mean time to repair MTTR And the slight increase rate of consumption; the wind power resource data includes the output of wind turbines and the corresponding time period; the time series load data is the hourly load arranged in ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a probabilistic production simulation method comprehensively considering a load and a wind power temporal characteristic. The probabilistic production simulation method is characterized in that: for a temporal intermittent characteristic, an anti-peaking characteristic, and a non-dispatchable characteristic of power output of a wind power unit, and that a temporal characteristic of the load is usually neglected in traditional probabilistic production simulation, four unit models are proposed according to different operating modes of a generator unit, and probabilistic production simulation is performed. According to the invention, the wind power temporal characteristic and impacts of various operating factors on the probabilistic production simulation when the generator unit is under different operation states can be studied quickly and reasonably, so that a more comprehensive mathematical model is established and computing efficiency is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of stochastic production simulation of power systems, in particular to a stochastic production simulation method that comprehensively considers load and wind power timing characteristics. Background technique [0002] Power system stochastic production simulation is an important method and tool for power system planning and operation optimization. It is an algorithm that calculates the power generation of each power plant, the production cost of the power system, and the reliability index of each power plant under the optimal operation mode by optimizing the production of the generating set and taking into account the randomness of the generating set and the electric load. It is often used in power system power planning, reliability assessment, unit combination and power market. At present, the methods of stochastic production simulation in power system mainly include simulation method and analytical method. The sim...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q50/06
Inventor 丁明林玉娟韩平平毕锐张晶晶陈锋
Owner HEFEI UNIV OF TECH
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