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Total electricity consumption prediction and calculation system and method

A technology of electricity consumption and society, which is applied in the field of electricity consumption measurement and calculation system of the whole society

Inactive Publication Date: 2017-08-15
国网宁夏电力有限公司经济技术研究院
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Problems solved by technology

[0008] In view of this, it is necessary to provide a whole-society electricity consumption measurement system, through the whole society electricity consumption measurement system and method to solve the problems existing in the existing medium and long-term load forecasting methods

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  • Total electricity consumption prediction and calculation system and method
  • Total electricity consumption prediction and calculation system and method
  • Total electricity consumption prediction and calculation system and method

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Embodiment Construction

[0026] The invention discloses a system and method for measuring and calculating the electricity consumption of the whole society based on the enterprise's electricity price tolerance and electricity price elasticity. By establishing the production and operation database of high-energy-carrying enterprises, inputting the expected electricity price fluctuation in the forecast year, and applying the core algorithm to predict the value Carry out calculations and return the power price affordability, elasticity coefficient and estimated data of the whole society's electricity demand of each key enterprise, and finally calculate the estimated value of the whole society's electricity consumption Q e , for reference to the power sector. Among them, please also see Figure 4 , the specific way to construct the production and operation database of high-energy-carrying enterprises is as follows: determine that there are t types of high-energy-carrying industries in the target area, and ...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a total electricity consumption prediction and calculation system, which comprises a storage module, an acquisition module, an input module, an enterprise electricity price elasticity value calculation module and a total electricity consumption prediction and calculation module, wherein the storage module is used for storing reference year historical data and predicted year planning data in high energy-loaded industries, an electricity price elasticity value prediction module of enterprises is established through analyzing profitability and industrial market environments of large industrial consumers represented by the high energy-loaded industries, future electricity utilization compositions of the enterprises are predicted based thereon, and finally the electricity consumption demand of the whole society is obtained. The invention further provides a total electricity consumption prediction and calculation method.

Description

[0001] Technical field: [0002] The invention relates to the technical field of power system load forecasting, in particular to a system and method for measuring and calculating electricity consumption in the whole society. [0003] Background technique: [0004] Power demand forecasting refers to the scientific prediction of future power demand based on the historical data of power demand, economy, society, weather, etc., to explore the changing law of power demand, and to seek the internal relationship between it and various related factors. [0005] Medium- and long-term power demand forecasting usually refers to the power demand forecast of more than one year, which is the basis of power grid planning, and its accuracy directly affects the quality of power grid planning. The medium and long-term power demand forecast is affected by many factors such as regional economic development level, industrial structure, policy factors, people's living standards and consumption conce...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06Q30/02
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q30/0206G06Q50/06
Inventor 王诚良黄宗宏周宗川田星宫建锋田宏梁党东升谢蕊娟李谦董晓晶
Owner 国网宁夏电力有限公司经济技术研究院
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