The invention relates to the technical field of
electric power, and discloses a novel
electric power system load prediction method, which comprises the following steps of: acquiring
electric power and corresponding comprehensive
energy system data in an area on site, performing
feature matching classification, determining prediction indexes, expanding a prediction range, establishing a secondary
prediction system, and performing GM (1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 8, 9, 10) on the secondary prediction indexes, the method comprises: 1) performing grey prediction to obtain a predicted value sequence, and generating a grey prediction model; performing
grey correlation degree analysis on the second-level prediction index and the first-level prediction index; constructing a
Bayesian network structure; constructing a father node; sequentially setting the value domains of the father node and the child node; determining a probability value and probability distribution; and comparing a prediction result with an actual result for
verification. According to the method, all factors which play a role in the future are included in the prediction model, the influence weight of each prediction index is accurately analyzed, and assistance is provided for future work key points of employees of electric power departments and related industries.