The invention discloses a cable insulation life prediction method and
system based on LSTM
accelerated aging mapping, and relates to the technical field of
submarine cable insulation life prediction. The existing method has the defects of insufficient multi-stress nonlinear modeling, laboratory and
field data separation, difficulty in
small sample modeling and the like, and the insulation life of the
submarine cable is difficult to accurately predict. The method comprises the following steps:
data acquisition: acquiring parameters of insulation
electrical performance, physical and chemical performance and mechanical performance under an
accelerated aging condition; carrying out data preprocessing: carrying out homodromous
processing on the inverse indexes, improving box plot denoising, filling
missing data with a space-time K nearest
neighbor algorithm, and carrying out normalization; constructing an LSTM model: embedding a
dielectric constant
differential equation as a physical constraint, and introducing an index weight; and model training and evaluation: adopting five-fold
cross validation, and quantizing prediction precision through
mean square errors and decision coefficients. According to the technical scheme, the prediction precision is improved, the fault risk caused by insulation aging is reduced, the maintenance cost is reduced, and the reliability of the ocean energy
transmission system is improved.