Group consistency analysis method based on Delphi method

Abstract

The invention discloses a group consistency analysis method based on a Delphi method. Aimg at the problem that, at present, most decision algorithms perform a large amount of work on aggregation and information fusion of individual information, however, the consistency degree of expert opinions is not defined, and only the preference information of the experts is fused to obtain the sequence of the scheme set, so whether the finally obtained result set is the optimal result set cannot be determined the method starts a Delphi method-based multi-criterion group decision-making method and introduces an anonymous mechanism and a feedback mechanism of the Delphi method on the basis of the multi-criterion group decision-making method, so that the consciousness of individual experts for controlling groups is avoided, and the opinions of the experts reach a certain convergence degree. According to the method, on the basis of a feedback mechanism, the opinions tend to be consistent, meanwhile,the initial opinions are reserved to the maximum extent, the non-stop evaluation link is also avoided, and the final decision result has good convergence.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention applies the common Delphi method in the economic field to group consistency analysis to solve the limitations of individual decision-makers' knowledge and the influence of individual experts' opinions on overall decision-making in the decision-making process, and belongs to the field of system science. Background technique [0002] The Delphi method is a well-known group decision-making method, which is a process in which a group of experts or stakeholders conducts structured interactions on a certain topic and finally reaches a consensus. Since its introduction in the 1960s, it has been applied in various knowledge domains, such as predicting mobile broadband traffic, identifying associated characteristics of a type of chronic disease, and understanding cloud computing application issues, among others. The Delphi method can be used for both prediction and evaluation. Experience at home and abroad shows that the Delphi method can make ful...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, these methods have done a lot of work on the aggregation and information fusion of individual information, but they have not defined the degree of consistency of expert opinions. The resulting result set cannot be determined to be the best result set

Images