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Method and device for customizing public transport lines

A technology for public transportation and routes, applied in traffic flow detection, traffic control systems, neural learning methods, etc., which can solve the problems of high randomness, poor adaptability, and difficulty in ensuring the accuracy and timeliness of prediction models.

Active Publication Date: 2022-03-25
SHENZHEN INTEGRATION TRAFFIC OPERATION COMMAND CENT +1
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, most of the current research is based on long-term passenger flow analysis, and the number of studies on short-term public transport passenger flow forecasting is relatively small. With the intelligent development of public transport in my country, the demand for short-term public transport passenger flow forecast is increasing. However, due to the poor adaptability of existing model algorithms to deal with short-term special situations, the randomness of special situations is high, making it difficult to guarantee the accuracy and timeliness of the prediction model
At present, the passenger flow forecast of the designed lines at home and abroad often adopts linear weighted prediction of the passenger flow of the original bus OD line, but the generation of passenger flow is a relatively complicated process, and there are many factors that affect passenger flow. It is not enough to rely solely on the original bus OD flow

Method used

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  • Method and device for customizing public transport lines
  • Method and device for customizing public transport lines
  • Method and device for customizing public transport lines

Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0038] This embodiment provides a method for predicting passenger flow of short-term public transport, where public transport includes buses and subways. In order to determine the demand information, a large number of passenger survey data on the public transport service index website were obtained. According to the data analysis results, it was found that passengers are most sensitive to the four factors of price, congestion, travel time and the number of transfers between stations, and the total selection rate is as high as 61.7%. Therefore, the present embodiment selects price, degree of congestion, travel time and number of transfers between stations as demand information.

[0039] Embodiment 1 of the present invention provides a short-term public transport passenger flow prediction method, figure 1 A flow chart of the implementation of a short-term public transport passenger flow forecasting method provided by the embodiment of the present invention, as shown in figure ...

Embodiment 2

[0091] This embodiment provides a method for customizing public transport routes. Since there are a large number of public transport stations in a city, design rules for routes need to be specified. In a specific application scenario of this embodiment, the sites in the city are divided into regions according to urban planning, and it is necessary to connect sites to form a line according to the predicted passenger flow and site information. First, the following rules are mainly considered:

[0092] (1) Each line connects two areas with a distance of more than 10 kilometers. At the same time, there are 4-12 stations in these two areas. The number is only for illustration and not limited.

[0093] (2) Set the running time and running times of the line.

[0094] (3) Set the number of people in the car, for example, set it to 60 people. When more than 60 tickets are purchased, the ticket sales will stop.

[0095] (4) Assumptions: each vehicle is equipped with a fixed toll device...

Embodiment 3

[0105] This embodiment provides a customized public transport line device, such as Figure 8 As shown, it is a structural block diagram of the customized public transport line device of this embodiment, including:

[0106] Obtaining module 100: used to obtain a preset start site and a preset end site;

[0107] Predicted passenger flow module 200: used for predicting passenger flow related to the preset start station and the preset end station obtained according to a short-term public transport passenger flow prediction method of the above-mentioned embodiment;

[0108] Route generation module 300: used to start from a preset starting station, select a station that meets the predicted passenger flow limit as the next station, and form a predicted route according to optimization conditions until reaching a preset end station.

[0109] In addition, the present invention also provides customized public transportation line equipment, including:

[0110] at least one processor, an...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method and device for customizing public transportation lines. Involving the field of route planning, the method obtains predicted line demand information, generates corresponding influence parameters based on the demand information, inputs the influence parameters into the trained passenger flow prediction neural network model, obtains the predicted passenger flow, and then obtains the preset starting point Sites, preset end sites and related predicted passenger flow, starting from the preset starting site, select the site that meets the predicted passenger flow as the next site until reaching the preset end site, and form a predicted route based on the optimization conditions. Predicting the attendance rate of unopened lines through historical passenger flow data provides a strong basis for customizing new public transportation lines. At the same time, it can accurately predict the passenger flow demand of unopened customized public transportation lines and provide urban public transportation managers with comprehensive public transportation line planning. It provides an important basis for network layout planning and mastering the development direction of customized public transportation.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of route planning, in particular to a method and device for customizing public transport routes. Background technique [0002] Public transportation passenger flow forecasting plays a very important role in the field of public transportation management and planning. For example, many public transportation route planning processes will use the forecasting of passenger flow. At present, there are many prediction methods for passenger flow. The commonly used forecasting models include time series methods , artificial neural network, support vector machine, decision tree, etc., its algorithms and models are relatively mature. However, most of the current research is based on long-term passenger flow analysis, and the number of studies on short-term public transport passenger flow forecasting is relatively small. With the intelligent development of public transport in my country, the demand for short-term public transport ...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G08G1/01G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG08G1/0137G06N3/08G06N3/044G06N3/045
Inventor 李彬亮朱宇刘健欣张鋆王妍何秋翘程逸旻
Owner SHENZHEN INTEGRATION TRAFFIC OPERATION COMMAND CENT
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