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Method for predicting the freight rate of international shipping container

A prediction method and container technology, applied in the field of shipping price prediction, can solve problems such as failure and impact

Inactive Publication Date: 2021-05-11
上海汇航捷讯网络科技有限公司
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  • Description
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Problems solved by technology

However, price fluctuations are non-stationary, not only because of the influence of time factors such as seasons on prices, but also because the pricing strategies of shipping companies are constantly adjusting
This will make the prediction model by fitting historical data invalid on new data, and the model needs to be continuously retrained, and the timeliness of historical price data needs to be considered. Therefore, we propose a method for predicting international shipping container freight rates

Method used

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  • Method for predicting the freight rate of international shipping container
  • Method for predicting the freight rate of international shipping container
  • Method for predicting the freight rate of international shipping container

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Embodiment Construction

[0033] In order to make the technical means, creative features, goals and effects achieved by the present invention easy to understand, the present invention will be further described below in conjunction with specific embodiments.

[0034]In the description of the present invention, it should be noted that the terms "upper", "lower", "inner", "outer", "front end", "rear end", "both ends", "one end", "another end" The orientation or positional relationship indicated by etc. is based on the orientation or positional relationship shown in the drawings, and is only for the convenience of describing the present invention and simplifying the description, rather than indicating or implying that the referred device or element must have a specific orientation, use a specific Azimuth configuration and operation, therefore, should not be construed as limiting the invention. In addition, the terms "first" and "second" are used for descriptive purposes only, and should not be understood a...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a method for predicting the freight rate of an international shipping container. The method comprises the following steps: obtaining and preprocessing historical freight rate data of an export container; performing technical processing on historical data, analyzing characteristics of historical price time sequence, ring period and same period price data, and mining influence conditions of factors such as the distance between an observation date and a departure date, a destination port and an exit light and peak season on ticket prices; and predicting the price in the future time period according to historical data and the impact factors. According to the international shipping container freight rate prediction method, on the basis of prediction according to historical prices, multiple factors such as periodicity of price fluctuation, market popularity and the distance between the current date and the departure date are objectively considered, the prediction precision is improved, the method can effectively reduce the enterprise export freight cost, reduce the industry default rate, and improve the execution efficiency of the international marine transportation organization.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of shipping price prediction, in particular to a method for predicting freight rates of international shipping containers. Background technique [0002] Since the financial crisis in 2008, China's contribution to world economic growth has remained at around 30%. As early as 2010, China became the world's second largest economy, and in 2013 it became the world's largest trader of goods. In 2017, my country The total volume of import and export trade was 27.79 trillion yuan. International shipping serves international trade, and 90% of logistics in international trade is completed by international shipping. The container technology that became popular in the 1970s has greatly reduced the cost of intercontinental transportation and provided more convenient conditions for global trade. It is a capital-intensive industry that requires huge investment. The drastic fluctuations in freight rates have brought huge r...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q10/08G06Q30/02G06K9/62G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q10/0831G06Q30/0206G06N3/049G06N3/08G06F18/241G06F18/10
Inventor 郭彦儒方结
Owner 上海汇航捷讯网络科技有限公司
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