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New energy power grid evolution prediction method and device, computer equipment and storage medium

A forecasting method and forecasting algorithm technology, applied in the field of electric power, can solve problems such as the lack of universality of forecasting results and difficulty in ensuring the accuracy of evolution paths

Pending Publication Date: 2021-11-26
STATE GRID CORP OF CHINA +2
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  • Claims
  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0004] However, the traditional power grid evolution path prediction method is greatly affected by human factors, and only predicts a few possible It is difficult for some technologies to guarantee the accuracy of the evolution path

Method used

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  • New energy power grid evolution prediction method and device, computer equipment and storage medium
  • New energy power grid evolution prediction method and device, computer equipment and storage medium
  • New energy power grid evolution prediction method and device, computer equipment and storage medium

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Embodiment Construction

[0036]In order to make the purpose, technical solutions and advantages of the present application clearer, the present application will be described in further detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described here are only used to explain the present application, and are not intended to limit the present application.

[0037] An embodiment of the present application provides a power grid evolution prediction method, which is applied to computer equipment, such as figure 1 As shown, the method includes the following steps:

[0038] Step 101. Determine the key index set corresponding to the target area; the key index set includes the power generation resource index that affects the development of the power grid in the target area, the energy storage index that affects the development of the power grid in the target area, the power demand side index that affects the development of the power...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a new energy power grid evolution prediction method and device, computer equipment and a storage medium. The method comprises the following steps: determining a key index set corresponding to a target area; the key index set comprises a power generation resource index, an energy storage index, a power utilization demand side index, a flexibility resource index and a fuel price index which influence the development of the target regional power grid; performing numerical prediction processing on each index in the key index set to obtain a key index sample set; processing the key index sample set by using a power grid evolution prediction algorithm to obtain multiple groups of evolution data corresponding to the target region; the evolution data comprise evolution data of a power generation resource structure corresponding to the target area and evolution data of a flexible resource structure corresponding to the target area. By adopting the method, the automatic intelligent prediction of the power grid evolution path can be realized, the influence of human factors is eliminated, the accuracy of the generated evolution path is ensured, and the predicted power grid evolution path has certain global coverage.

Description

technical field [0001] This application relates to the field of electric power technology, in particular to a new energy grid evolution prediction method, device, computer equipment and storage medium. Background technique [0002] With the continuous participation of flexible resources (for example, flexible transformation of thermal power units, pumped hydro storage, battery energy storage, compressed air energy storage, load shifting demand side response, and load shedding demand side response) in the evolution and development of the power grid, The evolution of the power grid will face many uncertain factors, making the evolution of the power grid deeply uncertain. It poses great challenges to identify the key driving factors of power grid evolution and determine the path of power grid evolution. [0003] In the traditional technology, it mainly relies on human experience to predict the possible evolution path of the power grid. It mainly predicts a variety of possible...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q10/06G06Q30/02G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q10/06393G06Q30/0202G06Q30/0206G06Q50/06Y04S50/14Y04S10/50
Inventor 孙荣富徐海翔吴林林乔颖
Owner STATE GRID CORP OF CHINA