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Scenic spot epidemic situation risk prediction and current limiting method, device, equipment and storage medium

A technology of risk prediction and current limiting method, applied in the field of prediction, can solve problems such as the reduction of the conversion rate of secondary consumption, the epidemic situation and risk assessment and setting, and the sharp drop in passenger flow in traditional scenic spots, so as to reduce losses, avoid idle scenic spots, and improve The effect of open efficiency

Active Publication Date: 2021-11-26
SOUTH UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF CHINA
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0003] However, the rate of flow restriction is directly defined in regions and scenic spots, without evaluation and setting according to the actual epidemic situation and risks in the region, which means "one size fits all".
Although advanced epidemic prevention is more safe and secure, it also brings a lot of pressure on the operating conditions of destination scenic spots and the recovery of tourism to a certain extent.
In addition, the large-scale traffic restriction policy of scenic spots, superimposed restrictions on cross-provincial travel, diversion of tourists from surrounding tours, etc., directly lead to a sharp drop in passenger flow in traditional scenic spots, and indirectly reduce the conversion rate of secondary consumption.

Method used

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  • Scenic spot epidemic situation risk prediction and current limiting method, device, equipment and storage medium
  • Scenic spot epidemic situation risk prediction and current limiting method, device, equipment and storage medium
  • Scenic spot epidemic situation risk prediction and current limiting method, device, equipment and storage medium

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Experimental program
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Embodiment 1

[0069] Please refer to Figure 4 , Embodiment 1 of the present invention is: a scenic spot epidemic risk prediction and current limiting method, which can be applied to scenic spot and other scenes, and the method can be executed by the scenic spot management center.

[0070] like Figure 4 As shown, an epidemic risk prediction and current limiting method provided in this embodiment includes the following steps:

[0071] S401: Obtain the scenic spot epidemic data of each unit time in the preset historical time period, and obtain sample data.

[0072] In this embodiment, the scenic spot epidemic data includes the centrality C of the county-level administrative region where the scenic spot is located in the urban flow network of confirmed patients (can be obtained from the operator’s confirmed patient same trip query tool platform), the infectious disease of the county-level administrative region where the scenic spot is located The reproduction number R (that is, the reproduc...

Embodiment 2

[0111] Please refer to figure 2 , Embodiment 2 of the present invention is: a scenic spot epidemic risk prediction and current limiting device, which can execute the scenic spot epidemic risk prediction and current limiting method provided in Embodiment 1 of the present invention, and has corresponding functional modules and beneficial effects for executing the method. The device can be implemented by software / or hardware, specifically including:

[0112] The acquisition module 201 is used to obtain the scenic spot epidemic data of each unit time in the preset historical period, and obtain sample data. The scenic spot epidemic data includes the centrality of the county-level administrative region where the scenic spot is located in the city flow network of confirmed patients, the location of the scenic spot The reproduction number of infectious diseases, the flow of people in scenic spots and the density of people in scenic spots in the county-level administrative regions of ...

Embodiment 3

[0134] Please refer to image 3 , Embodiment 3 of the present invention is: an electronic device, the electronic device comprising:

[0135] one or more processors 301;

[0136] a storage device 302, configured to store one or more programs;

[0137] When the one or more programs are executed by the one or more processors 301, so that the one or more processors 301 implement the various processes in the above-mentioned embodiment of the scenic spot epidemic risk prediction and current limiting method, And can achieve the same technical effect, in order to avoid repetition, no more details here.

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Abstract

The invention discloses a scenic spot epidemic risk prediction and current limiting method, a device, equipment and a storage medium. The method comprises the steps: obtaining scenic spot epidemic data of each unit time in a preset historical time period, and obtaining sample data, the scenic spot epidemic situation data comprises the centrality of a county-level administrative region where the scenic spot is located in a definite patient urban flow network, the number of infectious diseases regenerated in the county-level administrative region where the scenic spot is located, the scenic spot people flow and the scenic spot people flow density; training a neural network model corresponding to each scenic spot epidemic situation data according to each scenic spot epidemic situation data in the sample data; according to each trained neural network model, obtaining a predicted value of each scenic spot epidemic situation data, According to the predicted value of each scenic spot epidemic situation data, calculating an epidemic situation risk index; and determining a current limiting proportion according to the epidemic situation risk index. According to the invention, the scenic spot epidemic situation risk can be dynamically evaluated according to the epidemic situation of the area where the scenic spot is located, and the flow limiting proportion is delimited, so that the opening efficiency of the scenic spot is improved to the greatest extent.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of prediction, and in particular to a method, device, equipment and storage medium for epidemic risk prediction and current limiting in scenic spots. Background technique [0002] Under the influence of the epidemic, the Ministry of Culture and Tourism has requested to strictly prevent the spread of the epidemic through cultural and tourism channels, further implement the epidemic prevention and control requirements of A-level tourist attractions, strictly control the upper limit of tourist reception, and strictly implement the ticket reservation system. Under the potential risk of the spread of the epidemic, more and more scenic spots across the country have joined the flow-limiting team. Nowadays, the scenic spot adopts the ratio limit of the number of visitors to prevent and control the epidemic situation. Scenic spots in high-risk areas often directly suspend the business of scenic spots, and lo...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G16H50/80G06Q50/14G06Q10/04
CPCG16H50/80G06Q10/04G06Q50/14Y02A30/60
Inventor 宋轩马浩原舒家阳姜仁河欧阳晓东
Owner SOUTH UNIVERSITY OF SCIENCE AND TECHNOLOGY OF CHINA