Full-period risk monitoring method and device for power retail market

Abstract

The invention provides a power retail market full-cycle risk monitoring method and device, and the method comprises the steps: carrying out the pre-risk assessment of a power retail market based on a retail market risk feature value obtained through an extension cloud model according to an improved factor analysis method, and determining a risk assessment level; based on power retail market characteristics, classifying risks faced by power retail market subjects participating in marketization transactions, and establishing a power retail market risk monitoring index system; calculating each index value, and performing dimensionless processing; determining an index weight based on an entropy weight method; and based on the extension cloud model, perfroming post-event risk evaluation on the power retail market, determining a risk evaluation level , and importing a post-event evaluation result into a next-stage pre-event risk evaluation model to realize full-cycle risk monitoring of the power retail market . According to the invention, the risk monitoring problem of the power retail market is solved, and the risk condition of the power retail market can be accurately monitored.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of electricity market monitoring, in particular to a method and device for monitoring risks in a full cycle of an electricity retail market. Background technique [0002] As an important part of transmitting spot market prices to electricity users, the electricity retail market is a vital part of the electricity market. As a service-oriented industry, electricity retail has many risk points in the process of market operation. The development of my country's electricity retail market is still in its infancy, and there is a lack of monitoring and control measures to deal with risks. In order to maintain the operating environment of the electricity retail market and protect the interests of market players, it is necessary to provide corresponding risk monitoring methods for the electricity retail market. [0003] At present, most of the risk research on the electricity market starts from the perspective of th...

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Problems solved by technology

[0003] At present, most of the risk research on the electricity market starts from the perspective of the electricity wholesale market. The setting of risk monitoring content is not based on the actual risk factors faced by market players participating in the retail market, and the monitoring of risk factors does not take into account the entire cycle before and after market development. , unable to accurately monitor the risk situation existing in the electricity retail market

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