A reliability calculation method for vsc-hvdc grid-connected system based on wind farm
A technology of VSC-HVDC and calculation method, which is applied in the field of reliability calculation of VSC-HVDC grid-connected system based on wind farm, can solve the problem that the wind speed sequence and autocorrelation are not fully considered, the reliability research of wind farm is very small, and there is no wind farm reliability. It reflects the advantages and value of the VSC-HVDC grid-connected system, and achieves the effect of less computing time and improved computing efficiency
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[0108] The present invention will be described in further detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and specific embodiments.
[0109] Such as figure 1 As shown, the structure diagram of VSC-HVDC grid-connected system based on wind farm;
[0110] A method for calculating the reliability of a VSC-HVDC grid-connected system based on a wind farm, comprising the following steps:
[0111] a: Establish a multi-state Markov model of the time-series output power of the wind farm. This step includes:
[0112] Considering the timing and autocorrelation of wind speed, the autoregressive moving average (ARMA) model is used to predict the wind speed, and the wind speed model is established according to the prediction model;
[0113] Establish a fan output power model based on the established wind speed model;
[0114] Wind turbine 1 adopts the normal-fault two-state model, and uses the time-series Monte Carlo method to sample the normal-fault two-state model of a single...
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