Wind power climbing prediction method
A technology for wind power and forecasting methods, applied in forecasting, instruments, biological neural network models, etc., can solve the problems of high speed and large amplitude, increasing difficulty in analyzing the characteristics of active power output of wind farms, affecting the balance of power and load in the power grid, etc. problem, to achieve the effect of improving the prediction accuracy
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[0051] In order to make the technical means, creative features, goals and effects achieved by the present invention easy to understand, the present invention will be further elaborated below in conjunction with illustrations and specific embodiments.
[0052] Such as figure 1 , figure 2 As shown, the specific content of the prediction method proposed by the present invention is as follows: (1) The historical time series of wind power ramp-up is used as the input of the prediction model, and the data is sparsely decomposed by the sparse decomposition method. Sparse decomposition theory mainly includes two parts - over-complete atomic library; sparse decomposition algorithm. The time series of climbing amount is expressed as a sparse linear combination of atoms, and its general expression is:
[0053]
[0054] In the formula, c k is the sparse coefficient, As an approximation signal of the original signal, the signal f is approximately expressed as a linear combination ...
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