A method and device for predicting the trend of regional passenger flow

Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of communication, in particular to a regional passenger flow trend prediction method and device, and aims to solve the technical problem of poor regional passenger flow trend prediction accuracy in the prior art. In the method, mobile terminal signals of users are detected by honeycomb cells corresponding to existing erected base stations in order to locate the movement of the users. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, determining user movement information of honeycomb cells within first duration in a statistical region to generate a user movement matrix; and further determining retention probabilities of the users and immigration probabilities of adjacent region users in a target region in the statistical region in order to determine the total quantity of users in the target region at the end of second duration. In the method, existing communication equipment is used, so that new hardware resources do not need to be built, and resources are saved. Meanwhile, the immigration situations of the adjacent region users of the target region into the target region are also considered, so that the user prediction of the target region is more accurate.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of communication technology, in particular to a method and device for predicting regional passenger flow trends. Background technique [0002] During holidays, there are often large-scale passenger flows in various tourist attractions and important public places, and there will also be dense crowds at major event sites. If the on-site management is not in place, it is easy to be congested and squeezed. In extreme cases, an incident similar to the "Shanghai 12.31 Bund Stampede" may occur. Therefore, the current passenger flow management in public areas has become an important part of public safety management. On the one hand, it is necessary to accurately and timely grasp the current passenger flow information in the area; , Response measures. [0003] The existing technical schemes for obtaining passenger flow information are mainly divided into two categories according to the sources of information collection. The ...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0008] The present invention provides a method and device for predicting the regional passenger flow trend, which is used to solve the problem that the existing technology only considers the passenger flow situation in the target area when predicting the regional passenger flow trend, and does not consider the impact of changes in surrounding passenger flow on the passenger flow in the target area. The existing forecasting methods need to build more hardware resources, so it is wasteful, and the statistical accuracy is also poor.

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