Turnout failure prediction method

Abstract

The invention provides a turnout failure prediction method. The turnout failure prediction method comprises the steps that continuous N normal action curves of the same turnout are acquired; representative characteristics of the normal action curves are extracted; prediction models are established respectively for like categories of characteristics of the N normal action curves; based on the prediction models, values of each category of characteristics during Y action (Y > N) of the turnout are respectively calculated; failure diagnosis is conducted on a Y action prediction curve of the turnout, and whether failure is produced or not is judged. By adopting the method, the working state and the residual service life of the turnout at a next stage can be predicted, a reference is provided for maintenance decision making optimization, early turnout failure prevention is achieved, the turnout accident rate is reduced, the system reliability is improved, and traffic safety is ensured.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of rail transit, in particular to a method for predicting a turnout failure. Background technique [0002] Turnout is an essential line equipment when a train transfers from one track to or crosses another track. It is an important part of the railway track and is also the equipment with the highest failure rate. Once the turnout breaks down and cannot complete the prescribed action, the time delay will be caused by temporary parking, or the derailment of the carriage will cause casualties. [0003] my country's frequent railway transportation operations and changing operating environments can easily lead to turnout failures, but the existing monitoring conditions and maintenance methods for turnouts are backward, which can easily cause traffic accidents or affect traffic efficiency. At present, in order to prevent accidents, the railway department arranges professionals to regularly check and repair the turnouts, wh...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] The present invention provides a turnout fault prediction method, which realizes the prediction of the working state and remaining life of the turnout in the next stage, optimizes the maintenance decision, adjusts the maintenance interval, and reduces the problems of "excessive maintenance" and "insufficient maintenance" in the existing maintenance

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