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Method and system for predicting exit stop of passenger bus trip

A prediction method and passenger technology, applied in traffic control systems, traffic control systems of road vehicles, forecasting, etc., can solve the problems that the estimation of alighting stations depends on bus travel behavior and cannot meet the application needs of real-time prediction, and achieves an improvement The effect of user experience

Active Publication Date: 2019-02-05
JIANGSU ZHITONG TRANSPORTATION TECH
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0006] The purpose of the present invention is to provide a method and system for predicting passenger bus travel stop sites to solve the problem in the prior art that data analysis is carried out on the completed bus travel itinerary, and the estimation of the stop site depends on the follow-up bus travel Behavior, problems that cannot meet immediate forecast application needs

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  • Method and system for predicting exit stop of passenger bus trip
  • Method and system for predicting exit stop of passenger bus trip
  • Method and system for predicting exit stop of passenger bus trip

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Embodiment

[0046] A method for predicting passenger bus trip alighting stops, such as figure 1 , calculate the travel behavior index based on the passenger’s historical AFC data, further analyze the travel characteristics of the card-swiping passengers, extract the bus travel mode, and then predict the passenger alighting site according to the real-time boarding site information. The specific steps are as follows:

[0047] S1. Obtain the boarding card number and boarding site a of the bus at time t; divide the bus operation time into several time periods, and the time t∈[T i , T i+1 ],T i is the start time of period i.

[0048] S2. According to the AFC card number, collect and process the passenger's historical bus card swiping records, and calculate the travel behavior indicators; the time range of the historical bus card swiping records is not less than 1 month; the travel behavior indicators include:

[0049] (1) Passenger's bus travel route repetition coefficient R, its calculatio...

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Abstract

A method and system for predict that stop of passenger bus trip and disembarkation are provide, Based on the passenger historical AFC data, the travel behavior indexes are calculated, the travel characteristics of the card-swiping passengers are analyzed, and the bus travel modes are extracted, then the passenger disembarkation stations are predicted according to the real-time boarding station information, so as to provide customized and intelligent bus travel services for travelers. The passenger bus stop forecasting method and the passenger bus stop forecasting system can provide more targeted and intelligent station forecasting service for passengers, and remarkably improve the user experience of the information service system.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a method and system for predicting a passenger bus stop stop. Background technique [0002] The share rate of ground public transport in most cities in my country is less than 20% on average. Factors such as insufficient infrastructure, unreasonable line network layout, and limited intelligent level of operation and management have directly affected the service level of public transport operations. Weakness is one of the main reasons. [0003] At present, in the analysis of passenger alighting behavior, the station is mainly used as the analysis unit to estimate the passenger flow of alighting at the station or the travel OD between stations. The obtained index results can meet the management's macro-supervision and planning needs, but it is difficult to apply it to the information service of travelers. As far as travelers are concerned, customized and targeted information is the key to improving their service experience. How...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G08G1/01
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G08G1/0129
Inventor 潘阳阳周东陈凝吕伟韬
Owner JIANGSU ZHITONG TRANSPORTATION TECH
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