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A method of predicting bus arrival time by using bus IC card

A time and bus technology, applied in the field of transportation, to achieve the effect of reducing waiting time, wide coverage and large amount of data

Active Publication Date: 2018-12-18
BEIJING UNIV OF TECH
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] Aiming at the problems of traditionally using bus IC cards to predict bus arrival time, the present invention comprehensively considers factors such as vehicle type, number of people getting on and off the bus at the station, operating time and other factors for analysis, and provides a solution for using bus IC cards to accurately predict bus arrival time

Method used

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  • A method of predicting bus arrival time by using bus IC card
  • A method of predicting bus arrival time by using bus IC card
  • A method of predicting bus arrival time by using bus IC card

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Embodiment Construction

[0026] The specific implementation process of the present invention will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings. From April 15-21, 2015, the vehicle arrival time of No. 52 and No. 486 buses in Beijing during peak, flat peak and holiday periods was investigated, and 180 groups of vehicle arrival time data were obtained, which were covered with the extracted 446 groups All bus IC card swiping times of the target route are matched to calculate the time difference between adjacent swiping times and the difference between vehicle arrival time and card swiping time, and accurately predict the arrival time of vehicles by analyzing the card swiping laws of passengers.

[0027] Step 1: Obtain the exact arrival time of the bus through manual investigation, as shown in Table 1 in chronological order.

[0028] Table 1 Statistics of bus arrival time

[0029]

[0030]

[0031] Step 2: Extract the bus IC card swiping time during the operation period of the covered...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a method for predicting the bus arrival time based on a bus IC card, and belongs to the technical field of transportation. Analysis is made by comprehensively considering factors such as the bus model, the number of passengers getting on and the number of passengers getting off at each stop and the operation time, and a solution is provided for accurately predicting the bus arrival time based on a bus IC card. The method comprises the following steps: the accurate arrival time of a bus is recorded through artificial investigation; and the arrival time is matched with data recorded in a bus IC card, wherein the data after matching contains the bus line number, the bus number, the bus arrival time, the bus IC card swiping time, and the number of passengers getting on and the number of passengers getting off at each stop. A threshold for judging effective card swiping time is determined based on the analysis of the distribution law of the interval between adjacent card swiping time, and the bus arrival time is accurately predicted based on the card swiping data of different stops.

Description

Technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of transportation. The passenger card information recorded by the IC card can be used to accurately predict the bus arrival time. Background technique [0002] The key to the development of public transportation is to improve the level of public transportation services. Real-time and accurate bus arrival information can not only reduce the waiting time of passengers and facilitate passengers to arrange travel reasonably, but also provide guarantee for the reasonable decision-making and intelligent dispatch of bus operators. The forecast of bus arrival time in my country mainly adopts the real-time transmission of the GPS equipment of public transportation vehicles. Although GPS positioning accuracy is high, the cost of the equipment is relatively large and the popularity is low. It is not possible to fully cover all bus lines in a short period of time. Real-time prediction of station time. [0003] The current met...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G08G1/123G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04G08G1/123
Inventor 周雨阳姚琳陈艳艳龚艺
Owner BEIJING UNIV OF TECH
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