A method and device for predicting the number of mobile communication users

Abstract

The embodiment of the invention provides a method and apparatus for predicting the number of mobile communication users, relates to the field of communication, and is used for obtaining the user number distribution conditions of tracking areas in each period. The method includes: obtaining a modeling sample data set, wherein the modeling sample data set comprises N groups of data samples, and one data sample comprises the PS paging amount and the average connected state user number of a tracking area (TA) in a period in the tracking area (TA); conducting a linear regression analysis on all packet domain paging amounts and the average connected state user numbers in the N groups of data samples, and establishing a paging amount estimation connected state user number model; and obtaining the PS paging amount of a first tracking area (TA), and calculating the connected state user number of the first tracking area (TA) according to the paging amount estimation connected state user number model. According to the embodiments of the method and apparatus, the user numbers of business competitors can be calculated.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the field of communication technology, in particular to a method and device for predicting the number of mobile communication users. Background technique [0002] The mobile communication operation market is a group of competitive markets. In the future, with the issuance of additional mobile licenses, the competition will become more intense. For a certain group of mobile operators, reasonable forecasting of mobile communication traffic is particularly important. The main object of mobile communication service prediction is the number of mobile communication users. [0003] In the prior art, a method for predicting the number of users in an area based on the paging message of the mobile communication network is disclosed. The announcement number is CN102118775B. The test software of command function; Determine the test area; Select the test point that is not located at the boundary of the LAC area in the test area; Place the...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] However, the method used to obtain the relationship between the total paging volume and the number of users is to divide the number of paging times in the traffic statistics by the number of users to obtain a set of coefficients, that is, "the number of paging times per user per day". The method is too simple and not scientific enough. At the same time, the coefficient "number of pages per user per day" in this scheme cannot be used to calculate the number of users at the fine-to-hour level

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