Multi-time scale electricity trade decision-making method and system in electric power company
A technology with multi-time scales and decision-making methods, which is applied in the field of multi-time-scale transaction power decision-making in electricity sales companies, and can solve problems such as complex decision-making methods and large data requirements
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Embodiment 1
[0054] First of all, it should be noted that the decision-making method proposed in the embodiment of the present invention mainly requires the following historical data:
[0055] (1) Historical year / season / month power purchase data of electricity sales companies;
[0056] (2) Historical annual / quarterly / monthly power generation data of distributed power;
[0057] (3) Historical annual / seasonal / monthly electricity consumption data of electric vehicles;
[0058] (4) Electric energy replaces historical year / season / month electricity consumption data.
[0059] The decision-making process of trading electricity is as follows:
[0060] (1) Obtain the historical electricity consumption of traditional loads based on historical transaction purchase electricity, distributed power generation, electric vehicle electricity consumption, and electric energy substitution electricity consumption;
[0061] (2) Using different forecasting methods to obtain the predicted value of electricity c...
Embodiment 2
[0086] Refer to the decision-making process of trading electricity image 3 :
[0087] Step S201: Obtain the historical electricity consumption of traditional loads according to historical transaction electricity purchases, distributed power generation, electric vehicle electricity consumption, and electric energy substitution electricity consumption;
[0088] Step S202, using different forecasting methods to obtain forecasted values of electricity consumption of traditional loads under different time scales;
[0089] Step S203, according to the growth rates of distributed power supply, electric vehicles and electric energy replacement, respectively obtain their respective power forecast values (new energy power consumption forecast values);
[0090] Step S204, based on the predicted value of electricity consumption of traditional loads, taking into account the predicted value of distributed power generation, electric vehicles and electric energy replacement electricity, ...
Embodiment 3
[0151] refer to figure 2 , the method steps can be specifically described as:
[0152] Step 1: Determine the longest time scale for electricity sales companies to participate in bidding transactions. For reference, the time scales include annual, quarterly, and monthly. Generally, the year is taken as the longest time scale for electricity sales companies to participate in bidding transactions.
[0153] Step 2: Use the average growth rate method to complete the annual power consumption of traditional loads according to formulas (1)-(2), and complete the annual power generation of distributed power sources, annual power consumption of electric vehicles, and annual power consumption of electric energy replacement loads according to the incremental method. forecasting of electricity consumption, and calculate the predicted value and reliability of the total annual electricity consumption through formulas (3)-(4), determine the annual transaction electricity, and provide a reliab...
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