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Improved FOA-BPNN poverty-overcoming time predicting method

A technology of time prediction and prediction model, applied in prediction, neural learning methods, instruments, etc., can solve the problem of rare time prediction for poor households to get rid of poverty, so as to improve the unbalanced allocation of resources, improve the efficiency of assistance, and improve the accuracy rate. Effect

Active Publication Date: 2018-09-21
SOUTH CENTRAL UNIVERSITY FOR NATIONALITIES
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] At present, it is rare to use BP neural network and fruit fly optimization algorithm to construct a prediction model to realize the prediction of the time for poverty-stricken households to get out of poverty.
At the same time, the improvement of the fruit fly optimization algorithm focuses on the change of the search range caused by the iterative optimal value, ignoring the problem that the population density may affect the population diversity and thus limit the search accuracy.

Method used

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  • Improved FOA-BPNN poverty-overcoming time predicting method

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Embodiment Construction

[0014] In order to facilitate those of ordinary skill in the art to understand and implement the present invention, the present invention will be described in further detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the implementation examples described here are only used to illustrate and explain the present invention, and are not intended to limit this invention.

[0015] In order to discover the hidden rules in the poverty alleviation process of the poor households, the present invention extracts the basic information of the poor households that have been lifted out of poverty and a series of assistance measures they have accepted in the process of poverty alleviation, and conducts preliminary classification statistics on the attributes of the above poor households and tries to Mapping this to local policy reveals:

[0016] (1) Each policy introduced by the local government has different poverty alleviation effects on ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an improved FOA-BPNN poverty-overcoming time predicting method. The method comprises the following steps: converting poverty-overcoming time prediction of a low income family into a mathematical problem, and constructing a BPNN predicting model; and constructing an improved FOA-BPNN time predicting model by combining with an improved fruit fly optimization algorithm with aBP neural network, so as to realize the prediction of the poverty-overcoming time of the low income family. According to the method, the population density and speed variable factors are introduced into a fruit fly algorithm, so that the capacity of jumping out a local optimal solution through the fruit fly algorithm is improved; the improved fruit fly optimization algorithm is combined with the BP neural network, a training error of the BP neural network is taken as an adaptation degree value of the fruit fly optimization algorithm, and an optimal initial parameter combination of the BP neural network is searched by virtue of the fruit fly optimization algorithm, so that the accuracy rate of the predicting model is increased.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of big data applications, and relates to an improved FOA-BPNN method for predicting time to get rid of poverty, in particular to a method for constructing a model for predicting time to get rid of poverty for poor households. Background technique [0002] Since the current domestic research work is focused on the relevant theories of precise poverty alleviation from the perspective of sociology, and a large number of poverty alleviation and poverty reduction methods have been proposed, it is difficult to accurately quantify the deep-seated causes and mechanisms of poverty alleviation from the perspective of natural science. Analytical models and methods are rare. Therefore, driven by big data for poverty alleviation, establishing a standardized poverty alleviation prediction model with the help of popular methods such as deep learning has important theoretical significance and reference value for formulating...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06N3/00G06N3/08
CPCG06N3/006G06N3/084G06Q10/04
Inventor 朱容波张静静孟博王德军王俊
Owner SOUTH CENTRAL UNIVERSITY FOR NATIONALITIES
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