Early warning method and device for epidemic disease propagation situation of foreign livestock and poultry

Abstract

The invention discloses an early warning method and device for the epidemic disease propagation situation of foreign livestock and poultry. Specifically, the early warning method comprises the steps of obtaining quarantine data of foreign livestock and poultry, and obtaining feature data of a to-be-predicted epidemic disease based on the quarantine data; determining disease probability of the to-be-predicted epidemic disease of the foreign livestock and poultry according to the feature data of the to-be-predicted epidemic disease through a disease probability model, wherein the disease probability model is obtained by training the quarantine data of historical foreign livestock and poultry; based on a preset probability and the disease probability of the to-be-predicted epidemic disease ofthe foreign livestock and poultry, obtaining a group risk coefficient of the to-be-predicted epidemic disease of the same kind of foreign livestock and poultry; and determining a risk level of the whole batch of foreign livestock and poultry based on the feature data and the group risk coefficient of the to-be-predicted epidemic disease according to graded early warning conditions, determining anearly warning scheme according to the risk level, and pushing the early warning scheme. By means of the early warning method and device, effective prediction and early warning can be conducted on thespreading situation of foreign livestock and poultry epidemic diseases.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of early warning of epidemic diseases, in particular to a method and device for early warning of the transmission situation of foreign livestock and poultry epidemic diseases. Background technique [0002] The situation of animal epidemics and epidemics in the world today is complex and severe, and my country's import of livestock and poultry from developed countries is becoming more and more frequent. Therefore, how to effectively monitor and quarantine imported animals is the focus of livestock and poultry import work. At present, imported animals need to undergo farm quarantine, isolation and quarantine, screening for animal diseases, and culling positive animals before entering my country. However, traditional livestock and poultry disease quarantine work requires a lot of manpower and material resources, and cannot effectively prevent and warn diseased livestock and poultry and related diseases. Conte...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, traditional livestock and poultry disease quarantine work requires a lot of manpower and material resources, and cannot effectively prevent and warn sick livestock and poultry and related diseases

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